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MLB Picks Today: Wednesday May 30th

Randy Arozarena

MLB Picks Today

Thursday, May 30th, features just eight games across the league. Three games get started at 1:10 PM ET, including a pair of divisional matchups between the Cubs and Brewers, along with the Royals and Twins. Later in the day, a pair of struggling teams face off in New York as the Mets host the Diamondbacks. And at 9:38 PM ET, the Yankees are on the road to face the Angels.

Moneyline Plays

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners

Astros (+120) – Mariners (-142) | O/U 7.5

Thursday’s Astros vs. Mariners game has a first pitch set for 4:10 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Astros are 24-32 and are starting Spencer Arrighetti, while the Mariners are 31-26 and will go with Logan Gilbert. Houston is 3rd in the AL West, while the Mariners are on a 4-game winning streak and are 1st in the division.

Seattle is currently favored on the moneyline, with the odds sitting at -142 compared to the Astros at +120. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the game can be seen on TV on ATTSN-SW and ROOT NW.

Jose Altuve comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak but is batting just .222 over his last 10 games. For the season, he is hitting .293 with nine homers. Kyle Tucker leads the Astros with 18 home runs, which is the best mark in the league. However, he is batting just .189 over his last 10 games. Yordan Alvarez is also batting .274 for the season and has gone 14/38 in his last 10 games.

Cal Raleigh comes into the game as the Mariners’ leader in home runs this season, but he is batting just .209. He has gone deep 11 times this season and has driven in 29 runs, which is also the best mark on the team. Julio Rodriguez and Ty France are tied for 2nd on the team with six homers apiece. Rodriguez is hitting .269 for the season, while France is batting .243.

Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mariners on the road. Arrighetti has made eight starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 6.93 ERA. Opponents are hitting .294 off him this year, and his ERA on the road is 11.3 compared to 4.24 at home. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is 1.78.

Seattle’s offense has been struggling of late, as Dylan Moore and Ty France are the only two hitters who have hit over .240 in their last eight and nine games, respectively. Overall, the Mariners are 28th in runs scored this season, averaging 3.7 runs per game.

Seattle’s starter, Logan Gilbert, is 3-2 with a 3.06 ERA this season. He has a WHIP of .96 and opponents are hitting .194 off him. Gilbert is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work and finished with a no-decision. He has not given up more than three earned runs in any of his last four starts.

Houston Astros ML +120

 


Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets

Diamondbacks (-119) – Mets (-101) | O/U 7.5

The Diamondbacks are favored on the moneyline for Thursday’s matchup vs. the Mets, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field. Arizona is 25-30 overall, and they are 9.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Mets are 22-33 and 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 16 games. New York has lost three straight games, and they are 5-8 in divisional games.

Arizona’s offense is 9th in scoring, and they are 10th in batting average. They have also been good at avoiding strikeouts, and they are 16th in homers. The Mets are 20th in scoring and 18th in batting average. Joc Pederson leads the Diamondbacks with 10 homers, and he will be facing off against Zac Gallen, who has a 3.12 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Gallen is 5-4 this year and has six quality starts.

Christian Walker is on a seven-game hitting streak for the Diamondbacks, and he is hitting .266 with 33 RBIs. On the other side, Francisco Lindor is hitting .211 for the Mets, but he is 11/36 over his last eight games. Christian Scott is set to make his 4th start for the Mets, and he is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA. In his last outing, he took a loss vs. the Braves.

New York Mets ML -101

 


Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox

Tigers (-101) – Red Sox (-119) | O/U 7.5

Thursday’s forecast in Boston calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid-50s. First pitch for this Tigers and Red Sox matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET from Fenway Park. The moneyline odds have the Tigers at -101 and the Red Sox at -119, with the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs.

Jack Flaherty is starting for the Tigers, and he is facing Nick Pivetta for the Red Sox. Detroit is 27-28 this season, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East with a record of 28-28. This game will be televised on NESN.

Right-hander Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 3.84. Flaherty’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had picked up the win and didn’t give up a homer in three straight outings. Flaherty has allowed a homer in four of his last six starts.

Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers. In that May 25th start, he took the loss, going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs. Looking back further, Pivetta has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. His ERA for the season is 4.20, along with a record of 2-3. Pivetta’s WHIP for the season is 1.07. So far, he has made two home starts and has an ERA of 8.34 in those outings.

So far this season, the Tigers offense has been pretty average, as they are 17th in the league at 4.3 runs per game. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .235, which is 15th in the league. Detroit’s team on-base percentage is also below average, at .304.

Matt Vierling has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/25 in his last seven games, with four homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, Vierling is 2nd on the team with a .289 batting average and has gone deep seven times. Kerry Carpenter has been the Tigers’ top power threat, as his eight homers are the best on the team and 11th in the league.

So far this season, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, which is the 10th best mark in the MLB. Boston has been good at avoiding strikeouts, but they are just 23rd in the league in walks. The Red Sox have been good at hitting for power this season, as they have the 6th best isolated power number in the league.

Rafael Devers has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 10 homers are 2nd on the team and 9th best in the league. Devers is also 2nd on the team with 26 RBIs and is batting .284. Ceddanne Rafaela has been the Red Sox’s top run producer this season, but he is batting just .206. Over his last seven games, Wilyer Abreu is hitting .360 with two homers.

Boston Red Sox ML -119

 


Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Cubs (+101) – Brewers (-121) | O/U 8.5

Thursday’s matchup between the Cubs and Brewers is set to get started at 1:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI. The Brewers are the betting favorite on the moneyline (-121), while the Cubs have odds of +101. The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

Chicago comes into the game with a record of 28-28, and they are 3rd in the NL Central, while the Brewers are 1st in the division with an overall record of 32-23. Jameson Taillon will start for the Cubs, and he is facing off against Colin Rea for the Brewers. The game can be seen on BSWI.

Chicago is at .500 with a record of 28-28, and they are 4.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they have gone just 6-9 in divisional matchups. The Cubs have dropped four straight series and are just 7-8-2 in series this year.

At home, the Cubs have gone 15-11 this year, and they are 13-17 on the road. As the underdog, Chicago is 16-17 this year and 12-11 as the favorite. Chicago has struggled recently, going 3-7 over their last ten games.

Milwaukee is currently 32-23 overall and leads the NL Central by 4.5 games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 15-8 against other teams in the division. So far, they have taken two of three games from the Cubs in this series. At home, the Brewers are 14-10 this year.

Chicago’s offense has been a bit below average this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of team batting average, at just .227. However, they do have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league and have been good at drawing walks. The Cubs are also 13th in home runs, but their slugging percentage and isolated power numbers are both below average.

Christopher Morel has struggled with a batting average of just .192 this season, but he does lead the Cubs with 9 home runs and 34 RBIs. Michael Busch is 2nd on the team with 8 homers and is 3rd in RBIs. Nico Hoerner is batting .251 and has gone deep just twice this season. Over his last nine games, Ian Happ is hitting .290 with three homers.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ two most consistent home run threats this season, with Contreras hitting eight homers and Adames at nine. Contreras comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .323, while Adames is hitting .255 for the season. Adames has been hot of late, going 9/23 in his last six games, including two homers.

Chicago is sending Jameson Taillon to the mound today vs. the Brewers, and he comes in with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 2.58. So far, Taillon has made two quality starts and is averaging 5.87 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings vs. the Cardinals and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. One of those losses came vs. the Brewers, where he gave up two earned runs in four innings of work. Taillon has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Cubs. Rea has made nine starts this year and has a record of 4-2 with a 3.98 ERA. So far, he has turned in three quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Red Sox, Rea went 5 2/3 innings out of the bullpen, picking up the win. Rea’s ERA at home is 3.38, compared to 4.64 on the road. He has a walk rate of 3.31 per nine innings compared to 6.13 strikeouts.

Milwaukee Brewers ML -121

 


Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins

Royals (+106) – Twins (-126) | O/U 7.5

Thursday’s matchup between the Royals and Twins will feature a pair of teams that are both in the top two in the AL Central standings. The Royals are 35-22, while the Twins are 30-25. The Twins are 6.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead, and the Royals are 2.5 games behind the Guardians. First pitch is set for 1:10 PM ET from Target Field, and the game will be televised on BSN.

Minnesota is the slight favorite in this one, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. The Twins are sending Chris Paddack to the mound, and he is 4-2 with a 4.39 ERA. He will be facing a Royals lineup that is 6th in scoring and hitting .252 as a team, which is 6th in the MLB. Salvador Perez is hitting .325 for the Royals and leads the team with 10 homers. Bobby Witt Jr. has four homers over his last eight games.

Brady Singer will be starting for the Royals, and he is 4-2 with a 2.63 ERA. Singer’s last outing was a no-decision, and he gave up one earned run in five innings. So far, he has four quality starts. His ERA is 2.2 at home and 3.6 on the road. The Twins are 15-13 at home this year and 24-13 as the favorite.

Jose Miranda is on a three-game hitting streak for the Twins and is 7/21 over his last six games. Alex Kirilloff has two homers in his last five games. Ryan Jeffers leads the team with 10 homers and is 14th in the league with 33 RBIs.

Minnesota Twins ML -126

 


Over Under Plays

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels

Yankees (-183) – Angels (+154) | O/U 8.5

Carlos Rodon is starting for the Yankees on Thursday, and they are the road favorites vs. the Angels. The Yankees’ moneyline odds are -183, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. The Angels are 21-34 overall and trail the Mariners by nine games in the AL West. The Yankees are 38-19 and lead the AL East by 1.5 games.

New York’s series record is 13-2-2, and they have won three straight series on the road. The Angels are 4-12-1 in series this year and have lost eight straight series at home. Overall, they are 7-20 at home. The Angels are 1-4 as the favorite and 20-30 as the underdog.

Carlos Rodon is 6-2 with a 2.95 ERA and has won his last four starts. He is facing an Angels lineup that is led by Taylor Ward, who is hitting .271 with 11 homers and 34 RBIs. Mike Trout and Jo Adell are tied for 2nd on the team with 10 homers, but Trout is hitting just .220, and Adell is at .211. Adell is just 2/31 in his last eight games.

Patrick Sandoval is 2-7 with a 5.60 ERA and has a WHIP of 1.55. Sandoval is coming off a start in which he gave up eight earned runs in 3 2/3 innings. The Yankees are 7th in scoring this year and are led by Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, who are both on a power surge. Judge has four homers in his last nine games, and Soto is hitting .314 in this stretch.

Over 8.5 Runs -108

 


Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves

Nationals (+185) – Braves (-226) | O/U 8.5

Washington is 25-29 overall and 3rd in the NL East, and they are 15-16 on the road. The Nationals are 3rd in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 12.5 games. The Braves are 31-22 overall and 2nd in the NL East, and they are 17-10 at home.

Washington is 13-15 as the road underdog, and they are 22-27 overall as the underdog. As for the Braves, they are 30-19 as the favorite compared to 1-3 as the underdog. The over/under line for Thursday’s game is set at 8.5 runs, and the Braves are the heavy favorites on the moneyline at -226.

Washington’s offense is 21st in scoring and 17th in homers. They will be facing Ray Kerr, who is making his first start of the season. So far, he has gone 1-0, and he is facing a Nationals lineup that has CJ Abrams and Eddie Rosario. Abrams has 26 RBIs and is hitting .260. He is 7/25 in his last six games with two homers. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .308 with 16 homers for the Braves, but he is just 6/29 in his last eight games.

Trevor Williams is starting for the Nationals, and he is 4-0 with an ERA of 2.29. Williams is coming off an outing in which he gave up one earned run in five innings of work. He is facing a Braves offense that is 8th in scoring and 7th in batting average. Overall, they are 5th in slugging.

Over 8.5 Runs -110

 


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