MLB

MLB Best Bets For Monday the 17th

Monday Baseball Picks

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Three games start at 6:40 PM ET on Monday, for a total of nine games on the schedule. The Padres and Phillies are good to catch in the early slate, and an interleague matchup between the Mets and Rangers should be a good one to catch. At 8:05 PM ET, the Cubs will host the Giants, and the Brewers and Angels are the final game of the day.

Moneyline Plays

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Reds (+166) – Pirates (-197) | O/U 8.0

Jeimer Candelario has been red hot for the Reds over his last six games, going 9/24 with three homers and nine RBIs. He is now tied for the team lead in homers with 12 and has 35 RBIs. Candelario will look to keep things going vs. Pirates starter Paul Skenes, who is 3-0 with a 2.43 ERA this year. Skenes is coming off a start in which he went 6 1/3 innings and didn’t give up a run.

First pitch for Monday’s game is set for 6:40 PM ET, and the Pirates are the -197 favorite. The over/under line is sitting at 8 runs. The Reds are 34-37, putting them 4th in the NL Central, while the Pirates are 34-37 and are 3rd in the division. Both teams trail the Brewers by eight games.

Offensively, the Reds are 15th in homers, averaging 4.3 runs per game. The Pirates are 22nd in scoring, putting up 4.1 runs per game. Bryan Reynolds is hitting .333 over his last 10 games for the Pirates, while Andrew McCutchen is hitting .324 over his last eight games. Reynolds is also on a 14-game hitting streak and has 38 RBIs this year. Oneil Cruz is 2nd on the team with 28 homers.

MLB Best Bet: Cincinnati Reds ML +166

 


Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies

Dodgers (-173) – Rockies (+146) | O/U 11.5

Cal Quantrill will be on the mound for the Rockies on Monday, and he is 6-4 with a 3.30 ERA. The Dodgers will be countering with James Paxton, who is 6-1 and has a 3.92 ERA. First pitch for this NL West matchup is set for 8:40 PM ET from Coors Field. The Dodgers are -173 on the moneyline, and the over/under line is at 11.5 runs.

Los Angeles comes into today’s game with a record of 44-29, which has them leading the NL West by 8 games over the Padres. The Rockies are 25-46 and trail the Dodgers by 18 games. Colorado is 14-19 at home and 11-27 on the road. The Rockies have gone 4-17-2 in series this season and have lost two straight series.

Offensively, the Dodgers are 5th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game and are 3rd in homers. Shohei Ohtani is hitting .309 with 19 homers for the Dodgers. The Rockies are 19th in scoring at 4.2 runs per game and are hitting .249 as a team, which is 9th in the league. Ezequiel Tovar has 11 homers for the Rockies, while Ryan McMahon has 12 homers and 37 RBIs.

Quantrill is coming off a win in his last outing and has gone six innings. He has a WHIP of 1.25 and is holding hitters to a .228 average. Paxton is coming off a win and has a 3.92 ERA. He has five quality starts and is averaging 5.28 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has given up seven homers.

MLB Best Bet: Colorado Rockies ML +146

 


Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Red Sox (+113) – Blue Jays (-132) | O/U 7.5

The Red Sox are 37-35 and are 3rd in the AL East, 12 games behind the Yankees. They are 7-9 in the division and have won two straight games. As for the Blue Jays, they are 35-36 and 4th in the AL East, and they are 13.5 games behind the Yankees. Toronto is 9-10 in divisional games.

Monday’s pitching matchup has Nick Pivetta on the mound for the Red Sox, and he is 3-4 with a 3.88 ERA. Pivetta is 5.81 at home compared to 3.56 on the road. The Blue Jays are favored (-132) and have Yusei Kikuchi on the mound, and he is 4-5 with a 3.26 ERA. This year, Kikuchi has seven quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run across five innings.

Offensively, the Red Sox are 10th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game, and they are hitting .252 as a team. The Blue Jays are 24th in scoring at 3.9 runs per game and have a team ISO of .133, which is 20th in the league. Currently, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .284 with seven homers for the Blue Jays, and Daulton Varsho is the team’s leading power threat, but he is hitting just .220 for the season.

First pitch for Monday’s game is set for 7:07 PM ET, and the game can be seen on SNET.

MLB Best Bet: Boston Red Sox ML +113

 


New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers

Mets (+107) – Rangers (-126) | O/U 8.5

David Peterson will be on the mound for the Mets on Monday, and he has started two games this year, picking up wins in both. He will be facing off against Jon Gray and the Rangers, who are 33-38 overall and trail the Mariners by 8.5 games in the AL West. Gray is 2-2 with a 2.17 ERA and has five quality starts this year.

Currently, the Mets are on a five-game winning streak and are 33-37 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East. The Rangers are the slight moneyline favorite at -126, and the over/under line is 8.5 runs. New York trails the Phillies by 13.5 games in the division and are 11-10 in divisional games.

Offensively, the Mets are 12th in scoring, while the Rangers are 18th. Texas is hitting just .238 as a team, which is 15th in the league. As for the Mets, they are 9th in homers and are averaging 4.5 runs per game. Francisco Lindor is hitting just .231 for the Mets, and Pete Alonso leads the team with 15 homers and 37 RBIs.

Corey Seager and Adolis Garcia are the Rangers’ top power hitters, but Seager is just 1/15 in his last four games, and Garcia is hitting just .216 for the season. Marcus Semien is 7/26 in his last seven games, with one homer.

MLB Best Bet: New York Mets ML +107

 


San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

Giants (+104) – Cubs (-125) | O/U 9.5

The Giants are 35-37 this season and trail the Dodgers by 8.5 games in the NL West. They are 4th in the division and will be facing the Cubs, who are 34-38 and 5th in the NL Central, 8.5 games behind the Brewers. The Giants are 13-13 in divisional games, and the Cubs are 9-17.

The Cubs are favored at -125, and the over/under line is 9.5 runs. Monday’s forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 90s. First pitch is set for 8:05 PM ET, and NBCS will be televising this one. The Giants have gone 20-17 at home and 15-20 on the road. The Cubs are 19-15 at home.

Chicago has lost three straight series and are 8-13-2 in series play this season. The Cubs are 17-16 as the favorite and 12-11 at home. The Giants series record is 12-9-2, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Angels. San Francisco’s offense is 15th in scoring this season, and they are averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Cubs are 19th in batting average and 21st in on-base percentage.

Heliot Ramos is 10/27 with two homers and seven RBIs over his last six games for the Giants. For the season, he is hitting .326 with eight homers. The Cubs’ leader in homers is Christopher Morel, who is hitting just .195 for the season and 6/39 in his last 10 games. Cody Bellinger is hitting .263 for the year and .286 over his last 10 games. He has nine homers.

Jordan Hicks is 4-3 with a 3.01 ERA for the Giants, and he will be facing a Cubs lineup that is hitting just .226 this season. Javier Assad is 4-2 with a 2.81 ERA for the Cubs and has an ERA of 1.79 at home compared to 3.71 on the road. Assad is averaging 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

MLB Best Bet: San Francisco Giants ML +104

 


Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels

Brewers (-109) – Angels (-109) | O/U 8.5

Carlos Rodriguez is getting the start for the Brewers, and he will be looking to bounce back from his first start of the season, as he took the loss and gave up two earned runs in 3 2/3 innings. For the Angels, José Soriano is 4-5 with a 3.48 ERA through 13 starts. He has a WHIP of 1.18. Soriano is coming off a win in his last outing and has won two straight starts. His home ERA is 7.85 compared to 2.37 on the road.

Christian Yelich has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, going 9/23 over his last six games. Overall, he is hitting .253 with 11 homers and 45 RBIs. Willy Adames has also gone deep three times in his last six games. The Angels are 20th in scoring at 4.1 runs per game and are hitting .240 as a team. Their OBP is just .305. They are 8th in homers and 9th in isolated power.

Los Angeles is 28-43 and trail the Mariners by 13.5 games in the AL West. As for the Brewers, they are 42-29 and are 6.5 games up on the Cardinals in the NL Central. Milwaukee is 18-9 vs. the NL Central and have gone 14-7-2 in series play. The Angels are 6-16-1 in series play.

First pitch is set for 9:38 PM ET, and the game will be played in Anaheim. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and both teams have their moneyline odds at -109. Milwaukee is 7th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game, and they have the 6th best OPS. The Angels are 20th in scoring at 4.1 runs per game.

MLB Best Bet: Milwaukee Brewers ML -109

 


St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins

Cardinals (-159) – Marlins (+135) | O/U 7.5

Braxton Garrett is starting for the Marlins today, and he is 2-2 with a 6.10 ERA this year. He will be facing a Cardinals offense that is 27th in scoring and will be looking for a better performance from Nolan Gorman, who is hitting just .208 but is 8th in the league with 15 homers. Alec Burleson is also a power threat for the Cardinals, as he is 14th in the league with nine homers and is hitting .272. Miami is the worst scoring team in the league, averaging just 3.5 runs per game.

Sonny Gray is starting for the Cardinals and is 8-4 with a 3.02 ERA. He has a 1.03 WHIP and is averaging 11.93 strikeouts per nine innings. Gray last pitched seven innings and gave up just one run against the Pirates. So far, he has five quality starts and is facing a Marlins lineup led by Jazz Chisholm Jr., who is on a five-game hitting streak and is hitting .260 with 10 homers and 34 RBIs this year.

The Marlins are the +135 underdog today and are 23-48 overall, while the Cardinals are 35-35 and are 6.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. Miami is sending Braxton Garrett to the mound, and he is 2-2 with a 6.10 ERA. Miami is 12-25 at home, while the Cardinals are 17-15 on the road. First pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET.

MLB Best Bet: St. Louis Cardinals ML -159

 


Over Under Plays

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Padres (+150) – Phillies (-178) | O/U 9.5

Monday’s Padres vs. Phillies matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, as the Padres are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, while the Phillies have dropped two straight. San Diego is 37-38 and 2nd in the NL West, while the Phillies are 47-24 and 1st in the NL East.

San Diego is the road underdog at +150, while the Phillies are -178. The over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. First pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET from Citizen Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The Padres are 13-9-3 in series this year, while the Phillies are 14-7-4.

San Diego’s offense has been the best in the league this year, hitting .259 as a team. Jurickson Profar is hitting .321 and leads the team with 46 RBIs. He is also 10th in the MLB in RBIs. Luis Arraez is hitting .379 over his last eight games and is on a four-game hitting streak.

Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez has made 13 starts and is 3-3 with a 3.07 ERA. He has six quality starts and a BB/9 figure of 2.94. So far, opposing batters are hitting .264 off the left-hander. Sánchez is coming off a no-decision vs. the Red Sox on June 12th.

Randy Vásquez is 1-3 this year with a 4.93 ERA and a WHIP of 1.51. He is facing a Phillies offense that is 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game. The Phillies are also 6th in the league in batting average and are led by Bryce Harper’s 15 homers and 46 RBIs. Alec Bohm is 8/17 over his last four games and is hitting .302 this year.

MLB Best Bet: Under 9.5 Runs -120


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