AFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Ravens -3 | Total Points: 47
As the Dolphins prepare for this AFC matchup, the team has an overall record of 11-4. This includes riding a current two-game winning streak. Against AFC opponents, they have a record of 7-3. Most recently, the Dolphins hosted the Cowboys. The game ended in a 22-20 win for Miami. Since they were favored by 1.5 against the Cowboys, the Dolphins secured an ATS victory. The over/under line for their most recent game against Dallas was 48.5. Finishing with a combined total of 42 points, the under hit in this matchup.
Coming into this week 17 AFC matchup, the Ravens are in the middle of a five game winning streak and have an above .500 record of 12-3. The Ravens clinched a win in their most recent contest against the 49ers, finishing with a final score of 33-19. Besides their outright victory, the Ravens also covered the spread as 6.5-point underdogs. Totaling 52 points alongside San Francisco, the game’s point total exceeded the set over/under line of 46.5.
Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens History
The Dolphins and Ravens faced off one-time last season, with the Dolphins picking up a 42-38 win. The over/under line in last year’s matchup between the Dolphins and Ravens was 43.5, which they surpassed with 80 points combined. The Dolphins finished with the ATS win in this game. Offensively, the Dolphins finished with 547 total yards, with 461 coming in the passing game and 86 on the ground. The Ravens finished with 473 yards of offense in the loss.
Across the previous three games between the two teams, the Ravens actually hold the edge in points per game at 35 to 24 for the Dolphins. However, it is Miami that has a better record at 2-1.
Notable Injuries
Miami Dolphins
- Austin Jackson – Oblique (Questionable)
- Liam Eichenberg – Calf/ankle (Questionable)
- Andrew Van Ginkel – Wrist (Questionable)
- Tua Tagovailoa – Left Thumb/quad (Questionable)
- Tyreek Hill – Ankle (Questionable)
- De’Von Achane – Toe (Questionable)
- Terron Armstead – Knee/ankle/back (Questionable)
- Raheem Mostert – Knee/ankle (Questionable)
- Xavien Howard – Hip/thumb (Questionable)
- Erik Ezukanma – Neck (Out)
- Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
- Isaiah Wynn – Quadriceps (Out)
- Connor Williams – Knee (Out)
- Jerome Baker – Knee (Out)
- Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)
- Robbie Chosen – Concussion (Questionable)
- Alexander Johnson – Undisclosed (Out)
- Salvon Ahmed – Foot (Out)
- Jaylen Waddle – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jaelan Phillips – Achilles (Out)
- Jevon Holland – Knee (Questionable)
- Robert Hunt – Hamstring (Questionable)
Baltimore Ravens
- Kevon Seymour – Shoulder (Out)
- Arthur Maulet – Knee (Questionable)
- Mark Andrews – Ankle (Out)
- Tyus Bowser – Knee (Out)
- Trayvon Mullen – Toe (Out)
- Nick Moore – Achilles (Out)
- J.K. Dobbins – Achilles (Out)
- Devin Duvernay – Back (Out)
- Ar’Darius Washington – Chest (Out)
- Kyle Hamilton – Knee (Questionable)
- Jalyn Armour-Davis – Concussion (Questionable)
- David Ojabo – Knee (Out)
- Keaton Mitchell – Knee (Out)
- Andrew Vorhees – Knee (Out)
- Malik Hamm – Ankle (Questionable)
- Kevin Zeitler – Knee/quad (Questionable)
- Zay Flowers – Calf (Questionable)
- Roquan Smith – Pectoral (Questionable)
- Patrick Mekari – Concussion (Questionable)
- Broderick Washington – Elbow (Questionable)
- Patrick Queen – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Jordan Stout – Back (Questionable)
Keys To Victory: Miami Dolphins
In what is projected to be a tightly contested game, Tua Tagovailoa will be looking to put together a strong performance for a Miami offense ranked 1st in points per game. This season, he has completed 70.5% of his passes, leading an average of 280 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 1st among QBs in passing yards and 10th in attempts. Tyreek Hill has been targeted 146 times this season, and has caught 106 passes this season. He comes into the game with a total of 1641 receiving yards. On a per-attempt basis, the Dolphins average 4.9 yards while carrying the ball an average of 27.4 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 5th in the league.
Keys To Victory: Baltimore Ravens
When compared to other teams, the Baltimore offense is struggling to score points, with an average of just 27.8 points per game. Looking at their passing game, the Ravens come in with an average of 212.4 passing yards per game, which is 21st in the league. Presently, 48.4% of their first downs are credited to the passing game. Baltimore comes into the game with one of the better rush attacks in the NFL, averaging 4.9 yards per attempt. This strong figure has led to the team ranking 1st in yards per game on the ground.
Betting Trends
- Through their last ten road contests, the Dolphins’ offense has averaged 27 points per game while allowing an average of 26. Miami posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 7-3 ATS.
- When looking at their past ten home matchups, Baltimore has an ATS record of 8-2 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Dolphins have a straight-up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Ravens have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
Prediction
- Baltimore Ravens 26 – Miami Dolphins 23
