AFC West Divisional Matchup
Point Spread: Broncos -3.5 | Total Points: 36.5
This week, the Chargers will look to snap their current three-game losing streak with a victory over the Broncos. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 5-10. The Chargers hosted the Bills in 16. This game ended in a 24-22 loss for Los Angeles. Despite their defeat against Buffalo, the Chargers managed to cover the spread as 12.5-point underdogs in that game. Heading into the game, the over/under line was 44.5 points. As they combined for 46 points, the over hit.
This week, the Broncos will look to snap their current two-game losing streak with a victory over the Chargers. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 7-8. After dropping their last game to the Patriots by a score of 26-23, they are looking to bounce back with a win this week. In addition to losing straight-up, the Broncos also lost vs. the spread as 7-point favorites. With a set over/under line of 36.5 points, the game concluded with a combined total of 49 points, surpassing the betting line.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos History
Last year, the Chargers and Broncos split their head-to-head matchups with each team going 1-1. Together, the Chargers and Broncos averaged 47 points per game and had an over/under record of 1-1. Against the spread, they each went 1-1. The Broncos had the edge in terms of offensive yards last season, averaging 364.5 yards of offense compared to the Chargers at 324.5.
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Broncos are averaging 23 points per game, compared to the Chargers at 18. These figures have led to Denver posting a record of 2-1.
Notable Injuries
Los Angeles Chargers
- Corey Linsley – Heart (Out)
- Keenan Allen – Heel (Questionable)
- Joey Bosa – Foot (Questionable)
- Mike Williams – Knee (Out)
- Will Clapp – Knee (Out)
- Zack Bailey – Back (Out)
- Justin Herbert – Finger (Out)
- Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
- Tanner Muse – Knee (Questionable)
- Deane Leonard – Ankle/heel (Questionable)
- Raheem Layne – Knee (Out)
- Andrew Trainer – Undisclosed (Out)
- Amechi Uzodinma – Undisclosed (Out)
- Nick Vannett – Back (Questionable)
- Trey Pipkins III – Wrist (Questionable)
- Kenneth Murray Jr. – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Joshua Palmer – Concussion (Questionable)
- Rashawn Slater – Ankle (Probable)
- Nick Williams – Shoulder (Questionable)
Denver Broncos
- Justin Simmons – Illness (Questionable)
- Marvin Mims Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Dwayne Washington – Illness (Questionable)
- Baron Browning – Concussion (Questionable)
- Alex Palczewski – Hand (Questionable)
- Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
- Nik Bonitto – Knee (Probable)
- Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
- Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
- Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
- K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
- Courtland Sutton – Concussion (Questionable)
- Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
Keys To Victory: Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles gets set to take on Denver, averaging 21.7 points per game. Easton Stick and the Chargers’ passing game figures to be a key part of the game plan, as the team is throwing the ball at a rate above the league average. For the season, Stick has thrown for 651 yards through the air and has Los Angeles sitting 13th in passing yards per game. The team’s top receiver Keenan Allen, has caught 108 passes and has accumulated 1243 receiving yards this season. A major problem for this year’s Los Angeles offense is their lack of production in the run game. The team is averaging just 3.7 yards per attempt. Overall, they are the 23rd-ranked team in yards per game.
Keys To Victory: Denver Broncos
Quarterback Jarrett Stidham will be making his first start of the season for the Broncos. As a team, the Broncos are throwing the ball an average of 29.8 times per game, leading to 187.5 yards, which is 25th in the league. Heading into the game, the team’s top receiver, Courtland Sutton who, through 15 games, has 770 receiving yards this season. On the ground, Denver is averaging just 26.5 rush attempts per game, yet they are among the league leaders in yards per contest at 110.7 yards per game.
Betting Trends
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 15 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Across the Broncos last five home games, the team averaged 18 points per game while allowing 22. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
- Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Chargers have a straight-up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-4.
- Although the Broncos have a strong straight-up record in their last three games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-2.
Prediction
- Denver Broncos 22 – Los Angeles Chargers 21
