AFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Colts -3.5 | Total Points: 43.5
Coming into this week 17 AFC matchup, the Raiders are in the middle of a two-game winning streak but still have a below .500 record of 7-8. In their most recent game, the Raiders beat the Chiefs by a score of 20-14. Besides their outright victory, the Raiders also covered the spread as 11-point underdogs. The pre-game over/under line in their most recent game vs. Kansas City was 40.5. The teams fell short of this figure with 34 points.
Heading into the game, the Colts are the 7th-ranked team in the AFC with a record of 8-7. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 6-4. After dropping their last game to the Falcons by a score of 29-10, they are looking to bounce back with a win this week. In addition to their 19-point loss, the Colts also lost vs. the spread. They were 3-point underdogs heading into the game. In the matchup with Atlanta, the pre-game over/under line was 44.5. The under hit, as they combined for 39 points.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts History
In the only head-to-head matchup between the teams last season, the Colts won by a score of 25-20. Against the spread, the Colts covered in the only head-to-head matchup between the teams. The over/under line was going into the game 41 points, which the teams surpassed. In last year’s win, the Colts finished with 415 of total offense, with 207 coming in the running game and 208 through the air. On the other side, the Raiders ended the game with 309 of offense.
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Colts are averaging 29 points per game, compared to the Raiders at 23. These figures have led to Indianapolis posting a record of 2-1.
Notable Injuries
Las Vegas Raiders
- Austin Walter – Undisclosed (Out)
- Josh Jacobs – Quad (Questionable)
- Jesper Horsted – Hamstring (Out)
- Jermaine Eluemunor – Knee (Questionable)
- Dalton Wagner – Undisclosed (Out)
- Kana’i Mauga – Knee (Out)
- Brittain Brown – Undisclosed (Out)
- Darien Butler – Undisclosed (Out)
- Michael Mayer – Toe (Questionable)
- Maxx Crosby – Knee (Questionable)
- Kolton Miller – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Andre James – Ankle (Questionable)
- DJ Turner – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Malcolm Koonce – Ribs (Questionable)
Indianapolis Colts
- D.J. Montgomery – Groin (Questionable)
- Cameron McGrone – Illness (Questionable)
- Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
- Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
- Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
- Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
- Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
- Segun Olubi – Hip (Questionable)
- Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
- Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)
- Zack Moss – Forearm (Questionable)
- Michael Pittman Jr. – Concussion (Probable)
- KJ Hamler – Undisclosed (Out)
- Julian Blackmon – Shoulder (Out)
- Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
- Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
- Tony Brown – Suspension (Out)
- Isaiah McKenzie – Suspension (Out)
- Al-Quadin Muhammad – Suspension (Out)
- Derek Rivers – Undisclosed (Out)
Keys To Victory: Las Vegas Raiders
Quarterback Aidan O’Connell will try to lead the Raiders to a win despite being 3.5-point underdogs on the road. As a team, Las Vegas is averaging 19 points per game, placing them 22nd in the NFL. For the season, O’Connell is averaging 186 passing yards per game through the air. This figure has him sitting 30th among quarterbacks. O’Connell comes in with a passer rating of 78.7 and is averaging 10.3 yards per completion. Against the Colts, the team will look to get receiver Davante Adams involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 9.7 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 972. With an average of 88.6 rushing yards per game, the Raiders currently rank 30th in the NFL. This figure is based on 23.8 rushing attempts (25th).
Keys To Victory: Indianapolis Colts
Led by quarterback Gardner Minshew, the team’s 9th-ranked scoring offense will need to be on top of their game to cover the spread as -3.5 point betting favorites. For the season, Minshew is averaging 210 passing yards per game through the air. This figure has him sitting 19th among quarterbacks. Minshew comes in with a passer rating of 83.9 and is averaging 10.6 yards per completion. Against the Raiders, the team will look to get receiver Michael Pittman Jr. involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 10.2 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 1062. In terms of rushing, the Colts are averaging 27.5 rushing attempts per game, placing them 13th for rushing yards. They have an average of 4 yards per rushing attempt.
Betting Trends
- Through their last ten road games, Las Vegas has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 16 points per game.
- Across the Colts’ last ten home games, the team averaged 21 points per game while allowing 26. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4 while going 5-5 straight-up.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Raiders have a straight-up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-1-1.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Colts have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 5-0 in these scenarios.
Prediction
- Indianapolis Colts 22 – Las Vegas Raiders 18
