AFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Browns -3.5 | Total Points: 31
Coming into to this week’s AFC matchup vs the Browns, the Jaguars have an above .500 record at 8-4. Most recently, the Jaguars faced off against the Bengals at home. However, they suffered a 34-31 defeat. Along with their outright defeat, the Jaguars couldn’t cover the spread despite being favored by 10. Heading into the game, the over/under line was 41 points. As they combined for 65 points, the over hit.
Through 12 games, the Browns have a record of 7-5 and are looking to break a two game losing streak. In AFC action, they have a mark of 5-3. After a 36-19 loss to the Rams, the Browns are looking to get back on track this week. In addition to their 17-point loss, the Browns also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 3.5-point underdogs at the start of the game. Going into the game, the over/under line was 39.5 points with Los Angeles, the team’s performance exceeded the over/under line of 55.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns History
The last three times the Jaguars have traveled to take on the Browns, they are 2-1. The over/under record in the five most recent head to head games between the Jaguars and Browns is 2-3 with an average of 38 points per game. The last three times that the Jaguars have been on the road vs. the Browns, the over/under record is 3-2.
- In their last five road games, Jacksonville has averaged 26 points per game while allowing 19 . The team’s record in this stretch was 5-0 while going 5-0 vs. the spread.
- Across the Browns last five home games, the team averaged 24 points per game while allowing 31. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-3-1, while going 2-3 straight-up.
- Through their last three games as the underdog, the Jaguars have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight-up mark of 2-1.
- The Browns have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
Notable Injuries
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Zay Jones – Knee (Questionable)
- D’Ernest Johnson – Knee (Questionable)
- Travis Etienne Jr. – Ribs (Questionable)
- Andre Cisco – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Cooper Hodges – Knee (Out)
- Christian Braswell – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Brenton Strange – Foot (Questionable)
- Ventrell Miller – Achilles (Out)
- Christian Kirk – Groin (Doubtful)
- Folorunso Fatukasi – Heel (Questionable)
- Tre Herndon – Concussion (Questionable)
- Trevor Lawrence – Ankle (Questionable)
- Walker Little – Hamstring (Questionable)
- C.J. Beathard – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Tyson Campbell – Quad (Questionable)
- Jamal Agnew – Shoulder/ribs (Out)
- Cam Robinson – Knee (Out)
- Chris Claybrooks – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
- Jaylon Moore – Knee (Out)
Cleveland Browns
- Michael Woods II – Suspension (Out)
- Dawson Deaton – Knee (Out)
- Dorian Thompson-Robinson – Concussion (Questionable)
- Jacob Phillips – Pectoral (Out)
- Jedrick Wills Jr. – Knee (Out)
- Denzel Ward – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Nick Chubb – Knee (Out)
- Drew Forbes – Illness (Out)
- Jack Conklin – Knee (Out)
- Jakeem Grant Sr. – Knee (Out)
- Deshaun Watson – Shoulder (Out)
- Amari Cooper – Concussion/ribs (Questionable)
- Rodney McLeod Jr. – Bicep (Out)
- Ty Nsekhe – Bicep (Out)
- Marquise Goodwin – Concussion (Questionable)
- Shelby Harris – Achillies (Probable)
- David Njoku – Knee (Questionable)
- Nick Harris – Knee (Questionable)
- Joel Bitonio – Knee (Questionable)
- Myles Garrett – Shoulder (Probable)
- Kareem Hunt – Groin (Questionable)
- Maurice Hurst II – Groin (Questionable)
- Wyatt Teller – Calf (Questionable)
- Ogbo Okoronkwo – Foot/groin (Questionable)
- Juan Thornhill – Calf (Questionable)
- Cameron Mitchell – Shoulder (Questionable)
Keys To Victory: Jacksonville Jaguars
This season, the Jaguars offense is among the top-performing units in the league, maintaining an average of 23.8 points per game. This average has them 9th in the NFL. Jacksonville is currently ranked 9th in the NFL for passing yards per game, with an average of 243.6. In terms of passing yards per attempt, they are at 6 in the league. On the ground, the Jacksonville offense is among the league leaders in attempts, at 28.8 per game. However, this has not translated into enough success, as they are just the 22nd-ranked team in yards.
Keys To Victory: Cleveland Browns
So far this season, the Browns have actually been a better offensive unit on the road, averaging 24.2 PPG on the road compared to 18.8 points at home. Overall, they are 15th in the NFL in scoring. Dorian Thompson-Robinson holds a passer rating of 50.6, placing him 60th at his position. So far, he has 429 passing yards and recorded one passing touchdown. This season, the Browns offense is handing the ball off at one of the higher rates in the NFL. This has translated to an average of 32.5 yards per game, placing them 7th in the NFL.
Betting Trends
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Jacksonville has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 25 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- Across their five previous home games, Cleveland has an ATS mark of 1-3-1. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 24 points per game.
- The last ten games that Jacksonville was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 6-4 straight up.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Browns have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.
Prediction
- Jacksonville Jaguars 22 – Cleveland Browns 19
