AFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Texans -3.5 | Total Points: 33
Heading into the game, the Texans are the 8th ranked team in the AFC with a record of 7-5. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 4-3. When Houston last took the field, the Texans took down the Broncos, ultimately winning with a final score of 22-17. The Texans were able to cover the spread vs. Denver, as they went into the game favored by 3.5. In the matchup with Denver, the pre-game over/under line was 47. The under hit, as they combined for 39 points.
This week, the Jets will look to snap their current five game losing streak with a victory over the Texans. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 4-8. The Jets recently suffered a 13-8 defeat at the hands of the Falcons. In addition to their 5-point loss, the Jets also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 2-point underdogs at the start of the game. In their most recent game against Atlanta, the pre-game over/under line was set at 33 leading the under to hit with a combined total of 21 points.
Houston Texans vs New York Jets History
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Texans are averaging 22 points per game, compared to the Jets at 20. These figures have led to Houston posting a record of 2-1.
- Houston has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 20 points per game while allowing 21. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- In their last five games at home, the Jets have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-3-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 14 points per game in these contests.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, New York has an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
- In their last three contests as the favorite, Houston has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-0.
Notable Injuries
Houston Texans
- Denzel Perryman – Knee (Questionable)
- Dylan Horton – Personal (Out)
- Jarrett Patterson – Ankle (Out)
- Tank Dell – Leg (Out)
- Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
- Jared Wayne – Undisclosed (Out)
- DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
- Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
- Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
- Will Anderson Jr. – Shoulder (Probable)
- Jimmie Ward – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Neville Hewitt – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Probable)
- Sheldon Rankins – Elbow/shoulder (Questionable)
- George Fant – Hip (Questionable)
- Noah Brown – Knee (Probable)
- Ka’imi Fairbairn – Quad (Out)
- Hassan Ridgeway – Achilles (Out)
- Eric Murray – Knee (Out)
- Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
- Dalton Schultz – Hamstring (Questionable)
- M.J. Stewart – Shoulder (Out)
- Tytus Howard – Knee (Out)
- Grayland Arnold – Calf (Out)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
- Teagan Quitoriano – Groin (Out)
- Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
New York Jets
- Jason Brownlee – Ankle (Questionable)
- Tanzel Smart – Undisclosed (Out)
- Billy Turner – Finger (Probable)
- Wes Schweitzer – Calf (Questionable)
- John Franklin-Myers – Ankle (Questionable)
- Tyler Conklin – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Mekhi Becton – Knee (Probable)
- Quincy Williams – Knee (Questionable)
- Breece Hall – Ankle (Questionable)
- Aaron Rodgers – Achilles (Questionable)
- Al Woods – Achilles (Out)
- C.J. Uzomah – Knee (Out)
- Connor McGovern – Knee (Out)
- Chuck Clark – Knee (Out)
- Ifeadi Odenigbo – Undisclosed (Out)
- Perrion Winfrey – Foot (Out)
- Alijah Vera-Tucker – Achilles (Out)
- Bradlee Anae – Undisclosed (Out)
Keys To Victory: Houston Texans
Quarterback C.J. Stroud leads the league’s 10th ranked scoring offense into New York averaging 275.2 passing yards per game. Houston will continue turning to the pass on offense, as they throw the ball an average of 35.1 times per contest. Overall, Stroud has put together a passer rating of 101.2 while throwing for 3540 yards. Heading into the game, the team’s top receiver Nico Collins who through 11 games has 991 receiving yards this season. Even though Houston is ranked 13th in rushing attempts, they come into the game as a below-average unit in yards. So far, the Texans are averaging 97.9 yards per game on the ground.
Keys To Victory: New York Jets
New York’s offense is 27th in the league, with an average of 14.2 points per contest. Zach Wilson has thrown six touchdowns so far this season, placing him 19th among quarterbacks. His total passing yards of 1944 also ranks him 27th in his position. Even though the New York offense is averaging 4.2 yards per attempt, they are an average unit in overall rushing yards. So far, the Jets are 29th in rushing yards per contest.
Betting Trends
- Houston has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 20 points per game while allowing 21. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- Across their three previous home games, New York has an ATS mark of 0-2-1. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 10 points per game.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Jets have a straight-up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.
- Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Texans struggled vs the spread, going just 1-4. However, they still had a straight-up mark of 3-2.
Prediction
- Houston Texans 20 – New York Jets 19
