NFC North Divisional Matchup
Point Spread: Vikings -0.5 | Total Points: 44.5
Coming into this week’s NFC matchup vs the Vikings, the Packers have a below .500 record at 7-8. The Packers secured a win the last time they played, taking down the Panthers by a score of 33-30. Despite winning the game, the Packers did not cover the spread vs. the Panthers, as they were favored by 3.5. The over/under line for their game vs. 39.5 points, which the teams exceeded with a combined 63 points.
This week, the Vikings will look to snap their current two-game losing streak with a victory over the Packers. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 7-8. In their last game, the Vikings hosted the Lions. However, they lost by a score of 30-24. Alongside their 6-point loss, the Vikings also suffered an ATS defeat. They were 2.5-point underdogs before the game. Going into the game, the over/under line was 47.5 points that, with 54 points.
Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings History
Last year, the Packers and Vikings split their head-to-head matchups with each team going 1-1. The Packers and Vikings split their games vs. the spread last season. Together, they combined to average 44 points per contest and finished with an over/under mark of 1-1. Offensively, the Vikings averaged 370.5 yards per game in the head-to-head matchups compared to the Packers at 326.5 yards.
Last season, the Packers and Vikings did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Vikings have the leg up at 2-1. The Vikings also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 40 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Notable Injuries
Green Bay Packers
- Elgton Jenkins – Shoulder/knee (Questionable)
- Kingsley Enagbare – Toe (Probable)
- T.J. Slaton – Knee/foot (Questionable)
- Christian Watson – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Quay Walker – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Jaire Alexander – Suspended (Out)
- AJ Dillon – Thumb (Questionable)
- Jonathan Owens – Knee (Questionable)
- Aaron Jones – Knee/finger (Questionable)
- Luke Musgrave – Kidney (Questionable)
- Emanuel Wilson – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Questionable)
- Dontayvion Wicks – Chest/ankle (Questionable)
- Jayden Reed – Toe/chest (Questionable)
- Darnell Savage – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Robert Rochell – Neck (Questionable)
- Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
- De’Vondre Campbell – Neck (Questionable)
- David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)
Minnesota Vikings
- D.J. Wonnum – Quadriceps (Out)
- James Lynch – Knee (Out)
- Cam Akers – Achilles (Out)
- Olisaemeka Udoh – Quad (Out)
- T.J. Hockenson – Knee (Out)
- Byron Murphy Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
- Dean Lowry – Pectoral (Out)
- Kirk Cousins – Achilles (Out)
- Marcus Davenport – Ankle (Out)
- Mekhi Blackmon – Shoulder/illness (Questionable)
- Malik Knowles – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jalen Nailor – Concussion (Questionable)
- Jordan Addison – Ankle (Questionable)
- Sheldon Day – Ankle (Questionable)
- Alexander Mattison – Ankle (Questionable)
- Troy Dye – Wrist (Questionable)
- Theo Jackson – Toe (Questionable)
- Harrison Phillips – Back (Probable)
- Jaquelin Roy – Ankle (Questionable)
Keys To Victory: Green Bay Packers
In what is projected to be a tightly contested game, Jordan Love will be looking to put together a strong performance for a Green Bay offense ranked 11th in points per game. This season, he has completed 62.5% of his passes, leading an average of 239 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 13th among QB’s in passing yards and 6th in attempts. Against the Vikings, the team will look to get receiver Romeo Doubs involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 5.9 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 646. At 106.9 rushing yards per game, the Packers are currently ranked 18th in the NFL. In terms of attempts, they are carrying the ball an average of 25 times per game, which is 22nd.
Keys To Victory: Minnesota Vikings
Jaren Hall and the Minnesota offense enter this week’s 17 matchups averaging 20.9 points per contest, placing them 19th in the NFL. Minnesota will be their top receiving threat in T.J. Hockenson has been targeted 127 times this season, and has caught 95 passes. He comes into the game with a total of 960 receiving yards. On the ground, the Vikings have carried the ball an average of 23.7 times per game and currently rank 26th in rushing yards. Their average rushing yards per attempt is 3.8.
Betting Trends
- Across their five previous road games, Green Bay has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 24 points per game.
- Through their last ten home games, Minnesota has an ATS record of just 6-1-3. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 21 points per game.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Packers have a strong straight-up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
- As the betting favorite, the Vikings have an ATS mark of just 4-5-1 in their last ten games. Minnesota posted a straight-up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.
Prediction
- Minnesota Vikings 22 – Green Bay Packers 21
