We’re a week removed from a clean sweep, 4-0 last Friday was just what the doctor ordered after a less-than-inspiring week prior. There’s a massive slate of games tonight with many double-digit spreads, and plenty of potential for blowouts to keep an eye on, so let’s look ahead to potentially our first back-to-back sweep.
Deni Avdija over 21.5 points + rebounds (-130)
The Washington Wizards (32-41) have been in awful form of late, losing their last 4 in a row. Tonight they host the San Antonio Spurs (19-54) who have only 1 win on the road in their last 15 attempts. The hope this evening is with 2 of the worst defenses in the league at the moment, comes plenty of potential for points to be scored. Deni Avdija has stepped up in the last couple of matches as Bradley Beal and Kyle Kuzma continue to miss out for the Wizards. The young Israeli has hit 24+ points & rebounds in his last 2 games and comes up against a Spurs team that in their last 3 games ranks 24th in points scored against (122.3) & 29th in total rebounds allowed per game (60.7). As well as this, the Spurs are shooting just 42.7% (29th) from the field in their last 3 so the Wizards should see plenty of activity around the basket. With his more prominent role with the aforementioned absentees, Avdija should continue to see 30+ minutes on the court, and when he’s seen this number he’s hit this over in 7 of his last 10. The absence of Jeremy Sochan for the Spurs should also help as he’s one of the Spurs’ leading rebounders.
Kelly Olynyk over 20.5 points + rebounds (-120)
Next up we’re in Utah as the Jazz (35-37) welcome the Milwaukee Bucks (52-20). Both sides have identical records in the last 6 games, with 4 wins and 2 losses, though the Bucks start as -9.5 favorites. Kelly Olynyk has been a favorite of ours in recent months, and in the absence of Lauri Markannen, Jordan Clarkson & Collin Sexton, he should see some volume tonight. In the last 3 games Olynyk has played without Markkanen, he’s seen 15+ points and 10+ rebounds in all 3. He’s also hit this over in 4 of his last 5 games. Though the Bucks are one of the stronger defenses in the league (5th), in their last 3 games they’re slightly below their average of points against per game (114.7) so the Jazz should still have a chance to keep this game competitive.
Domantas Sabonis over 41.5 Points, Rebounds + Assists (-106)
Once over totals top 40+ points we can usually be a little wary of them, but Domantas Sabonis in recent weeks has been back to his best form for Sacramento. The Kings (43-29) look to get back to winning ways as the Phoenix Suns (38-34) come to town with only 1 win in their last 5, as both teams look to solidify their position in the playoff spots in the Western Conference. As mentioned, Sabonis has been on fire for the Kings as he’s averaged 42.8 total PRA in his last 10 games, picking up a triple-double in 5 of those 10, and narrowly missing out on 3 other occasions by 2 or fewer stat points. The Kings currently lead the league in points scored per game (120.7) and welcome a Suns side, in their last 3, that ranks 20th in points against (119.7) and 23rd in total rebounds against per game (52.3). Another factor that should assist Sabonis is DeAndre Ayton & Kevin Durant missing out, as Ayton leads the Suns in rebounds by a long way (619). As the Kings also rank 29th in points against per game (126), expect a high-scoring affair with plenty of points and plenty of rebound potential as both teams are also shooting under 48% on the season.
Pascal Siakam over 7.5 rebounds (-130)
We’re sticking with rebounds this evening, as the Toronto Raptors (35-38) host the worst team statistically in the NBA, the Detroit Pistons (16-57). Pascal Siakam has been in fine form of late for the Raptors, especially when it comes to boards as he’s averaged 8.3 in his last 10, and has actually seen 10+ in his last 4 straight. He’ll see tonight’s opponents as a fine opportunity to continue this run as the Pistons rank 28th in total rebounds allowed per game (59), and they’re currently shooting just 44.2% in their last 3, even lower than their paltry season average (45.4). Look for Siakam to push on as the Raptor’s leading rebounder (492), hopefully early on to avoid any potential missed time with a blowout, as Toronto are heavy -14.5 favorites this evening. He’s +180 for a double-double tonight, which looks like a nice price against a poor Pistons side.
Austin Reaves over 18.5 points scored (-120)
There’s plenty of action tonight, so we’ll push for a 5th play in the late game as the LA Lakers (36-37) welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder (36-37) in what should be a closely contested affair. Austin Reaves has had somewhat of an emergence in the Lakers team recently, starting for the first time in over 10 games against the Suns and finishing the game with 25 points. He’s averaging 18.4 over his last 10 games and has hit 24+ in 3 of his last 4. Oklahoma has allowed 116.7 points per game this season (20th) and also ranks 26th in free throws allowed per game (25.6), which will help Reaves as he’s attempted 13+ free throws in 3 of his last 4, gaining a lot of attention in the paint. If he starts, or at least continues to see 30+ minutes, expect Reaves to stay busy in this one.
I’m David, 28, originally from England but now married and living in Texas. Originally studied English Literature at Liverpool Hope University, alongside Sport & Education. Having been an avid sports fan my entire life, I had a season ticket at Everton FC in the EPL for 17 years. Since moving here I’ve become a Kansas City Chiefs fan after Kelce won me my Fantasy League on my first-ever try. Love watching the games whether it be college on Saturdays or the NFL throughout the week. You’ll always find me with a bet or two on as well. 1 leg losses are my Kryptonite.
