AFC West Divisional Matchup
Point Spread: Chargers -2.5 | Total Points: 44
Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Chargers, the Broncos have a .500 record at 6-6. The Broncos will be looking to get back on track this week following their 22-17 loss to the Texans. With a 5-point loss, the Broncos added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 3.5-point underdogs prior to the game. The under bettors were successful in the Broncos’ most recent game, with a combined total of 39 points. The game’s betting line was 47.
Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Broncos, the Chargers have a below .500 record at 5-7. The Chargers are coming off a win after defeating the Patriots with a final score of 6-0. Given that they were favored by 4.5 against the Patriots, the Chargers picked up an ATS win. In the matchup with New England, the pre-game over/under line was 38.5. The under hit, as they combined for 6 points.
Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers History
In the two head-to-head matchups last season, the Broncos and Chargers each picked up one win apiece. Together the Broncos and Chargers averaged 47 points per game and had an over/under record of 1-1. Against the spread, they each went 1-1. In these head-to-head matchups, the Broncos’ offense averaged 364.5 yards per game compared to the Chargers at 324.5.
In the last five head to head matchups, the Chargers have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. When looking back over the last ten head to head meetings between the Broncos and Chargers, the Broncos hold the edge with an ATS record of 6-4.
Notable Injuries
Denver Broncos
- Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
- Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
- Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Out)
- Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
- Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
- Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
- K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
- Kareem Jackson – Suspension (Out)
- Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
- Mike McGlinchey – Back (Probable)
- Zach Allen – Elbow (Probable)
- Pat Surtain II – Knee (Probable)
- Marvin Mims Jr. – Ribs (Probable)
- Delarrin Turner-Yell – Back (Probable)
Los Angeles Chargers
- Nick Williams – Foot (Questionable)
- Amen Ogbongbemiga – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Otito Ogbonnia – Knee (Questionable)
- Deane Leonard – Ankle/heel (Questionable)
- Justin Hollins – Chest (Probable)
- Trey Pipkins III – Wrist (Questionable)
- Raheem Layne – Knee (Out)
- Andrew Trainer – Undisclosed (Out)
- Amechi Uzodinma – Undisclosed (Out)
- Zack Bailey – Back (Questionable)
- Corey Linsley – Heart (Out)
- Joey Bosa – Foot (Out)
- Mike Williams – Knee (Out)
- Nick Vannett – Concussion (Probable)
- Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
- Tanner Muse – Knee (Out)
- Joshua Palmer – Knee (Questionable)
Keys To Victory: Denver Broncos
As the Broncos prepare to take on Los Angeles, they will be looking to put together a better performance in the passing game than their season average so far. Russell Wilson has the team ranked 26th in passing yards per game, and is ranked 19th among quarterbacks in yards through the air. What makes their production in the passing game impressive, is that they are averaging just 28.8 attempts per game. Denver will need to continue getting receiver Courtland Sutton involved, as he has caught 50 balls for a total of 637 receiving yards so far this year. This season, the Broncos have managed to put together one of the top-performing rushing attacks, despite sitting below the league average in attempts per game.
Keys To Victory: Los Angeles Chargers
Quarterback Justin Herbert leads the Chargers offense into Los Angeles, ranked 22.9 in points per game (11th). This season, he has completed 65.6% of his passes, leading an average of 253 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 9th among QB’s in passing yards and 3rd in attempts. Against the Broncos, the team will look to get receiver Keenan Allen involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 11.5 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 1175. At 97.7 rushing yards per game, the Chargers are 25th in the NFL. This figure has come on an average of 25.2 attempts (21st).
Betting Trends
- Across the Broncos last ten road games, the team averaged 16 points per game while allowing 28. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-6-1, while going 2-8 straight-up.
- Across their last three home contests, Los Angeles has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 17 points per game.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Denver has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
- The Chargers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.
Prediction
- Los Angeles Chargers 26 – Denver Broncos 19
