NFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Saints -8.5 | Total Points: 41
Coming into this week’s NFC matchup vs the Saints, the Bears have a below .500 record at 2-6. Recently, the Bears played and had a 30-13 loss against the Chargers. The Bears had a 17-point loss, resulting in a defeat on their ATS record. They were 9.5-point underdogs going into the game. In their most recent game against Los Angeles, the pre-game over/under line was set at 45.5, leading the under to hit on a combined total of 43 points.
So far this season, the Saints have a .500 record at 4-4. The Saints are coming off a win in their last game, where they beat the Colts with a score of 38-27. Against the spread, the Saints’ 11-point win was enough to cover as 2-point favorites. The over/under line for their game vs. 43.5 points, which the teams exceeded with a combined 65 points.
Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints History
In the last three games between Chicago and New Orleans, the Saints have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 8 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, New Orleans is averaging 27 points compared to Chicago at 19.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Chicago has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Across the Saints’ last five home games, the team averaged 24 points per game while allowing 16. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-2-1 while going 3-2 straight-up.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bears have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- The last ten games that New Orleans was favored, they have an ATS mark of 2-7-1 while going 5-5 straight up.
Notable Injuries
Chicago Bears
- Larry Borom – Personal (Questionable)
- Tremaine Edmunds – Knee (Questionable)
- Terell Smith – Illness (Questionable)
- Khalil Herbert – Ankle (Out)
- Justin Fields – Right Thumb (Questionable)
- Josh Blackwell – Hamstring (Out)
- Braxton Jones – Neck (Questionable)
- Jaquan Brisker – Concussion (Questionable)
- Nate Davis – Ankle (Questionable)
- Equanimeous St. Brown – Hamstring (Out)
New Orleans Saints
- James Hurst – Ankle (Questionable)
- Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
- Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
- Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
- Adam Prentice – Knee (Out)
- Payton Turner – Toe (Out)
- Malcolm Roach – Illness (Questionable)
- Shaquan Davis – Undisclosed (Out)
- Ty Summers – Concussion/hamstring (Questionable)
- Lynn Bowden – Illness (Questionable)
- Demario Davis – Knee (Questionable)
- Andrus Peat – Ankle (Probable)
- Michael Thomas – Illness (Probable)
- Taysom Hill – Hip (Questionable)
Keys To Victory: Chicago Bears
The Bear will be looking for quarterback Justin Fields to continue the team’s efficient play in the passing game. Overall, Chicago is averaging 21.4 points per game, placing them 16th in the league. Compared to other quarterbacks, Fields is ranked 29th in passing yards while completing 61.7% of his passes. Chicago will need to continue getting receiver DJ Moore involved, as he has caught 44 balls for a total of 691 receiving yards so far this year. The team has had their problems on offense despite being one of the better rushing units in the NFL. On the season, Chicago is averaging 132.8 yards per game on the ground, good for 6th in the league.
Keys To Victory: New Orleans Saints
If the Saints are going to pull off the win as home favorites, they will be looking for a big game out of quarterback Derek Carr and the league’s 16th-ranked scoring offense. This season, he has completed 64.5% of his passes, leading an average of 238 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 11th among QB’s in passing yards and 6th in attempts. Chris Olave has been targeted 77 times this season and has caught 44 passes this season. He comes into the game with a total of 517 receiving yards. The Saints hold the 20th position in the NFL with 106 rushing yards per game. This average has come on an average of 29.4 rushing attempts (9th).
Betting Trends
- Through their last ten road contests, the Bears offense has averaged 20 points per game while allowing an average of 30. Chicago posted an overall record of 2-8 while going 3-7 ATS.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Saints offense has averaged 18 points per game while allowing an average of 15. New Orleans posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 5-4-1 ATS.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bears have a straight-up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-2-1.
- The last three games that New Orleans was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
Prediction
- New Orleans Saints 20 – Chicago Bears 19
