NFC North Divisional Matchup
Point Spread: Lions -7.5 | Total Points: 47.5
Coming into this week’s NFC matchup vs the Lions, the Bears have a below .500 record at 3-7. The last time Chicago played, the Bears beat the Panthers by a final score of 16-13. On the point spread, the Bears were favored by 3, giving them an ATS push. In the matchup with Carolina, the pre-game over/under line was 38. The under hit, as they combined for 29 points.
Coming into this week 11 NFC matchup, the Lions are in the middle of a two-game winning streak and have an above .500 record of 7-2. In their most recent game, the Lions beat the Chargers by a score of 41-38. Detroit was favored by 2 against the Chargers and notched an ATS victory. Combining for 79 points with Los Angeles, the team’s exceeded the over/under line of 48.
Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions History
The Lions are hoping to build off last year’s success over the Bears as they went 2-0 in their head-to-head meetings. Against the spread, the Lions had the edge in last year’s head-to-head matchups, going 2-0. On the over/under, the teams averaged 56 points per game, leading to an OU mark of 1-1. The Lions had the edge in terms of offensive yards last season, averaging 413.5 yards of offense compared to the Bears at 319.
In the last five head-to-head matchups, the Lions have had the upper hand, going 3-2. In the last three games as the favorite against the Bears, the Lions have put together a 2-1 vs. the spread.
Notable Injuries
Chicago Bears
- D’Onta Foreman – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jack Sanborn – Ankle (Probable)
- Noah Sewell – Knee (Questionable)
- Khalil Herbert – Ankle (Questionable)
- Tremaine Edmunds – Knee (Questionable)
Detroit Lions
- Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
- Halapoulivaati Vaitai – Back (Out)
- Scott Daly – Knee (Out)
- C.J. Gardner-Johnson – Pectoral (Out)
- Emmanuel Moseley – Knee (Out)
- Jason Cabinda – Knee (Out)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones – Ribs (Probable)
- Matt Nelson – Ankle (Out)
- Levi Onwuzurike – Hip (Questionable)
- Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)
- Mohamed Ibrahim – Hip (Out)
- Isaiah Buggs – Illness (Questionable)
- Jonah Jackson – Wrist/ankle (Questionable)
- Ifeatu Melifonwu – Hand (Questionable)
- Kalif Raymond – Ankle (Questionable)
- Frank Ragnow – Back/toe (Probable)
- James Houston – Ankle (Out)
- Zonovan Knight – Shoulder (Out)
- Hendon Hooker – Knee (Out)
Keys To Victory: Chicago Bears
Justin Fields will get the start for the Bears at quarterback. So far, Chicago is ranked 24th in passing yards per game, and he is ranked 29th among quarterbacks in yards through the air. What makes their production in the passing game impressive is that they are averaging just 30.5 attempts per game. Chicago will need to continue getting receiver DJ Moore involved, as he has caught 52 balls for a total of 793 receiving yards so far this year. Points have been hard to come by for the team despite their success in the rushing game. So far, the Chicago offense is not only near the top of the league in yards at 135.1 per game, and they are also an above-average team in terms of attempts.
Keys To Victory: Detroit Lions
Against Chicago, the Lions will be on the attack in the passing game, as they are throwing the ball an average of 36.2 times per contest. Their preference to air the ball out has led to the team ranking 5th in points per game (26.8). Jared Goff comes into the game with 2507 passing yards on a completion percentage of 68.4%. Heading into the game, the team’s top receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown through 8 games, has 821 receiving yards this season. Detroit comes into the game with one of the better rush attacks in the NFL, averaging 4.5 yards per attempt. This strong figure has led to the team ranking 3rd in yards per game on the ground.
Betting Trends
- Chicago has a straight-up record of 1-4 in their last five road games, and they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 19 points per game in these games.
- The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last home games and 4-1 straight-up.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Bears have a straight-up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-6-1.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Lions have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight-up mark of 5-0.
Prediction
- Detroit Lions 22 – Chicago Bears 19
