Non Conference NFL Matchups
Point Spread: Browns -3 | Total Points: 38.5
Coming into this week 15 NFC matchup, the Bears are in the middle of a two game winning streak but still have a below .500 record of 5-8. In week 14, the Bears faced off against the Lions at home. The game ended in a 28-13 win for the Bears. In addition to winning straight-up, the Bears covered the spread as 3-point underdogs. In their most recent game against Detroit, the pre-game over/under line was set at 44.5 leading the under to hit with a combined total of 41 points.
Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Bears, the Browns have an above .500 record at 8-5. This week, the Browns will be looking to string together another win after taking down the Jaguars by a score of 31-27. As 2.5-point favorites against the Jaguars, the Browns picked up an ATS win. The over/under line for the game was set at 37.5 points, and the final combined total surpassed it with 58 points.
Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns History
The Bears and Browns did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Bears have a record of 2-1. The Bears also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 41 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Bears have a straight-up record of 2-8 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 17 points per game in these contests.
- Through their last three home games, Cleveland has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 21 points per game.
- As the betting underdog, the Bears have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Browns have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
Notable Injuries
Chicago Bears
- Dylan Cole – Personal (Probable)
- DJ Moore – Ankle (Questionable)
- Noah Sewell – Knee (Questionable)
- Jaquan Brisker – Groin (Questionable)
- Yannick Ngakoue – Ankle (Out)
- Equanimeous St. Brown – Pectoral (Questionable)
Cleveland Browns
- Michael Woods II – Suspension (Out)
- Dawson Deaton – Knee (Out)
- Dawand Jones – Knee (Out)
- Joel Bitonio – Knee (Questionable)
- Amari Cooper – Ribs (Probable)
- Myles Garrett – Shoulder (Probable)
- David Njoku – Knee (Questionable)
- Kareem Hunt – Groin (Questionable)
- Ogbo Okoronkwo – Pectoral (Questionable)
- Anthony Walker Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
- Jordan Kunaszyk – Calf (Questionable)
- Pierre Strong Jr. – Illness (Questionable)
- Jerome Ford – Wrist (Questionable)
- Grant Delpit – Groin (Out)
- Jacob Phillips – Pectoral (Out)
- Jedrick Wills Jr. – Knee (Out)
- Jordan Elliott – Concussion (Questionable)
- Juan Thornhill – Calf (Questionable)
- Drew Forbes – Illness (Out)
- Denzel Ward – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Maurice Hurst II – Pectoral (Out)
- Nick Chubb – Knee (Out)
- Jack Conklin – Knee (Out)
- Jakeem Grant Sr. – Knee (Out)
- Ethan Pocic – Stinger (Questionable)
- Deshaun Watson – Shoulder (Out)
- Rodney McLeod Jr. – Bicep (Out)
- Ty Nsekhe – Bicep (Out)
Keys To Victory: Chicago Bears
Before this week’s matchup, the Bears are focused on improving their offensive scoring ranking, as they currently sit close to the league average at 20.8 points per game. Chicago’s passing offense enters this week’s game with a ranking of 26th in passing yards. Furthermore, they hold the 25th spot in attempts, averaging 30.6 passes per game. Points have been hard to come by for the Chicago offense, despite the team averaging 4.4 yards per carry, good for 6th in the league. On average, the Bears are averaging 138 yards per game on the ground.
Keys To Victory: Cleveland Browns
Cleveland enters this week’s action averaging 22.2 points per game, placing them 12th in the NFL. Quarterback Joe Flacco has thrown for 565 yards, with the team ranking 23rd in yards per game through the air. This below average production has come despite the team averaging 36.9 passing attempts. Cleveland will need to continue getting receiver Amari Cooper involved, as he has caught 57 balls for a total of 876 receiving yards so far this year. This season, the Browns offense is handing the ball off at one of the higher rates in the NFL. This has translated to an average of 32.2 yards per game, placing them 7th in the NFL.
Betting Trends
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Chicago has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
- Through their last three home games, Cleveland has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 21 points per game.
- Chicago has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Browns have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.
Prediction
- Chicago Bears 20 – Cleveland Browns 19
