Game Preview

Carolina Panthers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Pick and Preview

Travis Etienne

Non-Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Jaguars -6.5 | Total Points: 38

Coming into this week’s non-conference matchup vs the Jaguars, the Panthers have a below .500 record at 2-13. The Panthers had the Packers as their opponent in week 16. However, the Packers took them down by a score of 33-30. Even though they lost to Green Bay, the Panthers still covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs going into the game. The over/under line for their game vs. 39.5 points, which the teams exceeded with a combined 63 points.

Through 15 games, the Jaguars have a record of 8-7 and are looking to break a four-game losing streak. In AFC action, they have a mark of 6-5. In week 17, the Jaguars will be looking to recover from the 30-12 loss they suffered against the Buccaneers. Not only did the Jaguars lose the game, but they also didn’t cover the spread as 2-point favorites. In the matchup with Tampa Bay, the pre-game over/under line was 43.5. The under hit, as they combined for 42 points.

Carolina Panthers vs Jacksonville Jaguars History

The Panthers and Jaguars did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Panthers have a record of 3-0. The Panthers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 38 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 1-2.

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Carolina has an ATS record of 1-3-1 while averaging 13 per game. The team went 0-5 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Jaguars have a straight-up record of 7-3 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 24 points per game in this stretch.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Panthers have a straight-up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
  • The last ten games that Jacksonville was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 7-3 straight up.

Notable Injuries

Carolina Panthers

  • Justin McCray – Calf (Out)
  • Shaq Thompson – Leg (Out)
  • Henry Anderson – Foot (Out)
  • Troy Hill – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Austin Corbett – Knee (Out)
  • Hayden Hurst – Concussion (Out)
  • Donte Jackson – Ankle (Probable)
  • Giovanni Ricci – Shoulder (Out)
  • Laviska Shenault Jr. – Ankle (Out)
  • Dicaprio Bootle – Knee (Out)
  • Brady Christensen – Bicep (Out)
  • Claudin Cherelus – Knee (Questionable)
  • Chandler Zavala – Knee (Out)
  • Amaré Barno – Knee (Out)
  • Luiji Vilain – Knee (Out)
  • Derek Wright – Knee (Out)
  • Chandler Wooten – Ankle (Out)
  • Taylor Moton – Knee (Questionable)
  • Marquis Haynes Sr. – Back (Questionable)
  • Frankie Luvu – Quad (Questionable)
  • Chuba Hubbard – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Jaycee Horn – Toe (Questionable)
  • Ikem Ekwonu – Foot (Questionable)
  • Nash Jensen – Back (Probable)

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Zay Jones – Knee/hamstring (Questionable)
  • Cam Robinson – Knee (Questionable)
  • Christian Kirk – Groin (Out)
  • Daniel Thomas – Forearm (Out)
  • Chris Claybrooks – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
  • Jaylon Moore – Knee (Out)
  • Trevor Lawrence – Right Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Cooper Hodges – Knee (Out)
  • Christian Braswell – Hamstring (Out)
  • Ventrell Miller – Achilles (Out)
  • Ezra Cleveland – Knee (Questionable)
  • Tyson Campbell – Finger (Questionable)
  • Andre Cisco – Groin (Questionable)
  • Walker Little – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Brenton Strange – Foot (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: Carolina Panthers

If the Panthers are going to pull off the win as the underdog, they will be looking for a big game out of quarterback Bryce Young and the league’s 26th-ranked scoring offense. For the season, Young is averaging 190 passing yards per game through the air. This figure has him sitting 20th among quarterbacks. Young comes in with a passer rating of 75.0 and is averaging 9.4 yards per completion. Adam Thielen has been targeted 128 times this season, and has caught 95 passes this season. He comes into the game with a total of 964 receiving yards. Looking at their ground game, the Panthers have been carrying the ball an average of 26.7 times per game and are 19th in rushing yards. They have an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt.

Keys To Victory: Jacksonville Jaguars

Quarterback Trevor Lawrence leads the league’s 12th-ranked scoring offense into Carolina, averaging 245.6 passing yards per game. Jacksonville will continue turning to the pass on offense, as they throw the ball an average of 36.9 times per contest. Overall, Lawrence has put together a passer rating of 89.1 while throwing for 3736 yards. Jacksonville will need to continue getting receiver Calvin Ridley involved, as he has caught 66 balls for a total of 871 receiving yards so far this year. Jacksonville has managed to find success on offense, even though they are ranked just 25th in rush yards per game. However, this lack of production has more to do with limited opportunities, as they are a below-average group in attempts.

Betting Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Panthers’ offense has averaged 13 points per game while allowing an average of 24. Carolina posted an overall record of 0-5 while going 1-3-1 ATS.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Jacksonville has an ATS record of 8-2 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Carolina has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 6-4.

Prediction

  • Jacksonville Jaguars 22 – Carolina Panthers 16
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