MLB Player Props
I hope everyone had a phenomenal Memorial Day weekend. Sports betting and barbecues sound like the perfect weekend if I’ve ever heard of one. Now it is time to return to the lab and find some great player props for the MLB slate.
Last week was a success; I went 2-1 on Wednesday. Freddy Peralta pitched an excellent game, while Michael King was able to garner six strikeouts. Unfortunately, Taijuan Walker just eclipsed his over in strikeouts and missed the perfect 3-0 record. The season does not stop, so today we have many games to dissect and find the right props. Let’s see which three props made the final cut.
Shota Imanaga Over 17.5 Outs (-195)
The Shota Imanaga train is still on the tracks and there is no end in sight. Imanaga owns the best ERA in baseball at 0.84. He is just dominant at this point. His fastball averages out to 92 MPH, which is slow for today’s standards, but it does not matter in the slightest. Hitters are batting a staggering .164 against his fastball. They cannot hit most of his pitches it seems.
Imanaga is the clear-cut favorite to take home the NL Rookie of the Year but is now making a case for the NL Cy Young award as well. He looks to continue that trend against the division-rival Milwaukee Brewers, who were held hitless for most of yesterday’s game. The Brewers have been running away with the division so far, but the Cubs have the talent to match them. They picked up a key win last night and might be able to replicate that success with their ace on the bump.
Imanaga tends to get the over 17.5 outs with ease unless he gets hit a decent amount. The Brewers have put together a nice hitting season thus far, but this is their first time facing the dominant Imanaga. I love picking this over for the potential Rookie of the Year.
Seth Lugo Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-135)
Seth Lugo has been a relief pitcher for most of his time in the MLB. However, last season was his first real opportunity to become a starter in a rotation. He was okay with the San Diego Padres, as he posted an 8-7 record with a 3.57 ERA and 140 strikeouts. This year with the Kansas City Royals has seen Lugo take it up a few notches. As of today, Lugo is 8-1 with a 1.67 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Lugo has been nothing short of dominant.
In his last matchup against the Minnesota Twins, Lugo went six innings and only allowed two hits. The Twins have a tendency to struggle against right-handed pitchers this season. Against righties, the Twins are batting a lowly .219, which is the third-worst in all of baseball. The Twins just can’t seem to hit against righties, which is bad news with them facing Lugo.
Furthermore, Lugo is excellent on the road. In five starts on the road, Lugo is 5-0 and has a 0.76 ERA. This looks like this should be a monstrous performance for him tonight. Take the under on his hits allowed with no hesitation.
Luis Gil Over 17.5 Outs (-130)
The New York Yankees were heading into the season with a big question mark in the rotation. They would be without the reigning AL Cy Young winner, Gerrit Cole, for a long time. Who was going to step up for them? The answer is Luis Gil. Before this season, Gil only managed seven career starts. He has already surpassed that total this season alone. In his 10 starts for this season, Gil has been beyond impressive. He is becoming a dominant young pitcher right before our eyes.
Gil is a wizard on the mound, as he is able to strike out batters with ease. That was put on display when he amassed 14 strikeouts against the Chicago White Sox. However, I am not touching his strikeouts prop. I instead want to play his over on outs.
In five straight starts, Gil has hit the over. He is starting to have a masterful command on the mound that allows him to hit this over easily. The only hiccup in his game can be his walks from time to time. Luckily, his opponent today is not the best at drawing walks.
The Los Angeles Angels are the fifth-worst team in walk percentage. They are not going to walk many, which helps Gil to hit this over. Until he begins to slow down, I think it is the perfect time to ride Luis Gil.
Kicking things off on Wednesday’s MLB slate is the first leg of a doubleheader between the Pirates and Tigers (12:40 PM ET). There is also a few other good day games, as the Cardinals and Reds start at 1:10 PM ET, and there is a good matchup between the Dodgers and Mets. at 7:40 ET, the Cubs and Brewers face off, with each team having one win in their four-game set.
Moneyline Plays
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers
Pirates (+126) – Tigers (-152) | O/U 7.0
The Pirates come into Wednesday’s game vs. the Tigers with a record of 25-29 and are 4th in the NL Central, six games behind the Brewers. As for the Tigers, they are 26-27 and 4th in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 10 games. Detroit has won three straight games and took the final three games of their series vs. the Blue Jays.
Wednesday’s game is set to get started at 12:40 PM ET, and the Tigers are the favorite, with their odds sitting at -152. The over/under line for the game is at 7 runs. On the mound for the Pirates is Jared Jones, who is 3-4 with a 3.05 ERA and a WHIP of .97. He will be facing a Tigers lineup that is led by Kerry Carpenter, who has 29 RBIs and is hitting .283. Riley Greene is 9th in the majors with nine homers.
Offensively, the Pirates are 24th in scoring at 4 runs per game. Bryan Reynolds has been hot over the past nine games, going 13/41 (.317) with two homers and eight RBIs. Overall, Reynolds is tied for the team lead with seven homers. As for Andrew McCutchen, he is hitting just .226 this season but has two homers in his last nine games.
First pitch for today’s game is set for 12:40 PM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit. The game will be shown on BSDET.
Pittsburgh Pirates ML +126
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Cubs (-135) – Brewers (+114) | O/U 7.5
Shota Imanaga is 5-0 with an ERA of 0.84 for the Cubs this season and is coming off a start in which he went seven innings and didn’t allow a run. He is 3-0 with an ERA of 0.36 on the road. Imanaga will be facing a Brewers lineup that is 4th in the league in batting average and on-base percentage.
William Contreras and Willy Adames are both tied for 2nd on the Brewers with eight homers. Contreras is hitting .324 and has 43 RBIs. Adames is 8/23 in his last six games. Cody Bellinger is 7/22 over his last five games for the Cubs, but he is hitting just .197 for the season. Christopher Morel leads the Cubs with 33 RBIs and has nine homers.
Milwaukee is 31-23 overall and leads the NL Central by 3.5 games over the Cubs. The Brewers are 13-10 at home and 18-13 on the road. As for the Cubs, they are 13-16 on the road and 15-11 at home. The Brewers are 14-8 in divisional games, while the Cubs are 6-8.
First pitch is at 7:40 PM ET, and the Brewers are the underdog at +114. The Cubs are favored at -135.
Milwaukee Brewers ML +114
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
Diamondbacks (+112) – Rangers (-133) | O/U 9.0
Wednesday’s matchup between the Diamondbacks and Rangers is set to get underway at 2:35 PM ET from Globe Life Field in Arlington. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Rangers are favored on the moneyline, with the odds sitting at -133 compared to the Diamondbacks at +112. Arizona is 4th in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 8.5 games. As for the Rangers, they are 2nd in the AL West at 26-29, and they are 3.5 games behind the Mariners for the division lead.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamondbacks’ top power threats this season, with both players hitting 10 homers. Walker is also 14th in the league with 33 RBIs and comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Overall, he is hitting .267, while Marte is hitting .270. Joc Pederson has also been a solid power threat for the Diamondbacks, hitting .303 with six homers.
Arizona’s offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. Texas is 10th in the league in home runs and comes into the game with a team batting average of .241. Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager are tied for the team lead in homers, with both players having 12. Seager has been hot of late, going 4/15 with four homers in his last four games. Garcia, on the other hand, is just 2/19 in his last five games.
Ryne Nelson is 3-3 with an ERA of 6.03, and he is coming off a win in his most recent outing. Nelson’s WHIP for the season is 1.83, and opponents are hitting .353 off him. Dane Dunning is 3-3 with an ERA of 4.43, and he is coming off a rough outing in which he went just 3 1/3 innings and gave up three earned runs, four walks, and a homer. Overall, Dunning is 2-1 with an ERA of 4.68 on the road.
Arizona Diamondbacks ML +112
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Cardinals (+103) – Reds (-123) | O/U 9.5
Wednesday’s Reds vs. Cardinals game has a first pitch of 1:10 PM ET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The forecast for the game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-50s. Andre Pallante is starting for the Cardinals, while the Reds are going with Frankie Montas.
St. Louis is currently 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 26-27, while the Reds are 5th in the division at 24-31. The moneyline odds have the Reds favored at -123, while the Cardinals are sitting at +103. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and the game can be seen on BSOH.
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game with a team-high nine home runs for the Reds, and he is 9th in the league in homers. He is hitting .245 for the season and has an OBP of .345. Spencer Steer is right behind him with six homers and a .226 batting average. Steer is also 12th in the league with 35 RBIs. The Cardinals have been led by Paul Goldschmidt, who is 10/33 with three homers over his last eight games and is hitting .228 for the season.
Frankie Montas is 2-3 this year with a 4.61 ERA. He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs across six innings. He also gave up three homers in that game. Montas is facing a Cardinals lineup that is 25th in scoring at 3.9 runs per game.
Andre Pallante is 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA this year and has a WHIP of 1.90. He has 5.4 strikeouts and 4.5 walks per nine innings. Pallante has come out of the bullpen in all of his appearances this year. The Cardinals are 14-13 as the favorite this year and 4.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds are 2-3 in divisional games and trail the Brewers by 7.5 games.
St. Louis Cardinals ML +103
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Astros (-105) – Mariners (-114) | O/U 7.0
Seattle is currently 30-26 and leads the AL West by 3.5 games over the Rangers. They have gone 8-3 in divisional games this year and are currently on a three-game winning streak. The Mariners will be sending George Kirby to the mound, and he is 4-5 with a 4.33 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP is currently 1.03, and he is averaging 8.23 strikeouts per nine innings.
Julio Rodríguez has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mariners, going 8/21 in his last five games with two homers and seven RBIs. He is also hitting .269 for the season. Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this year, averaging only 3.7 runs per game. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts per game.
Justin Verlander will be on the mound for the Astros, and he is 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA. He has a WHIP of 1.23 and is coming off a start where he went six innings and gave up one earned run. So far, he has made four quality starts and is averaging 7.88 strikeouts per nine innings. Verlander will be facing a Mariners lineup that is led by Kyle Tucker, who leads the league with 18 homers. He also has 39 RBIs for the Astros.
Overall, the Astros are 24-31 and are 5.5 games behind the Mariners in the division. Houston’s offense is the best in the league, averaging 4.5 runs per game. They are also the top-hitting team in terms of batting average. The Astros are currently 14-15 on the road and are 19-24 as the favorite. Seattle is currently -114 on the moneyline, while the Astros are -105. The over/under line is currently set at 7 runs.
Houston Astros ML -105
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
Phillies (-128) – Giants (+107) | O/U 8.0
Wednesday’s matchup between the Phillies and Giants is set to get underway at 3:45 PM ET, with NBCS televising the game. The Phillies are the favorite, with their moneyline odds sitting at -128 compared to the Giants at +107. So far, the Phillies have gone 38-18, which has them in 1st place in the NL East. The Giants are 2nd in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games.
San Francisco is currently on a three-game winning streak and have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Phillies. Philadelphia is looking to snap a three-game losing streak. Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 11-5 in divisional games and lead the Braves by five games in the NL East.
The Phillies are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Kyle Schwarber has gone 12/32 over his last nine games, and Bryce Harper has three homers and eight RBIs in that span. Harper is 5th in the league with 13 homers and 6th with 41 RBIs. Alec Bohm is hitting .309 with a team-high 47 RBIs.
San Francisco’s offense is 7th in the league with a team batting average of .248. Matt Chapman and Thairo Estrada are tied for the team lead with eight homers. Chapman has three homers in his last eight games. Michael Conforto is 3rd on the team with 20 RBIs and is 11th in the league with seven homers.
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez is 2-3 with a 3.15 ERA this season and is facing a Giants lineup that is 7th in the league in batting average. He most recently faced the Rockies and gave up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings. Sánchez will be opposed by Kyle Harrison, who is 4-1 with a 3.90 ERA. Harrison has a WHIP of 1.30 this year and is coming off a start where he gave up four earned runs in five innings vs. the Mets.
Philadelphia Phillies ML -128
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Dodgers (-129) – Mets (+109) | O/U 8.5
James Paxton gets the start for the Dodgers, and he is 5-0 this season with an ERA of 3.49. He will be facing a Mets lineup that is led by Brandon Nimmo, who has seven homers this season but is hitting just .215. As a team, the Mets are 20th in scoring, averaging 4.1 runs per game. First pitch for this one is set for 4:10 PM ET, and the Mets are the slight underdogs (+109) at home. The over/under line is 8.5 runs.
David Peterson will be making his 22nd start of the season for the Mets, and last year, he went 3-8 with an ERA of 5.03. The Dodgers are 5th in scoring this season and are led by Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani. Betts is hitting .338 with eight homers, and Ohtani is hitting .329 with 13 homers. The Dodgers are favored (-129) and have a record of 35-22, which is 5.5 games better than the Giants in the NL West.
Los Angeles is 34-20 as the favorite and are 1-2 as the underdog. They are also 11-8 in series matchups and have won two straight games as the road favorite. The Mets are 22-32 overall and trail the Phillies by 15 games in the NL East. So far, they are 5-8 in divisional matchups and have gone 6-10-2 in series matchups. New York has lost three straight series.
Los Angeles Dodgers ML -129
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Royals (+112) – Twins (-132) | O/U 7.5
Wednesday’s matchup between the Royals and Twins features a pitching matchup of Seth Lugo for the Royals and Bailey Ober for the Twins. Lugo has a record of 8-1 and an ERA of 1.74, and he is coming off an outing in which he went seven innings and gave up just one earned run. Ober is 5-2 with a 4.33 ERA and has a WHIP of 1.04. He is also averaging 9.35 strikeouts per nine innings.
First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:40 PM ET, and the Twins are the slight favorite on the moneyline at -132. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs. The Royals are 34-22 overall and trail the Guardians by 3.5 games in the AL Central. The Twins are 30-24 and trail the Royals by 3.5 games. So far, the Royals are 11-7 in AL Central matchups, compared to the Twins’ mark of 14-10.
Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. are tied for 9th in the league with nine homers apiece for the Royals. Perez is 8th in the league with 39 RBIs and is hitting .322. Witt Jr. is hitting .303 and has two homers in his last five games. Overall, the Royals are 6th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. The Twins are 11th in scoring at 4.4 runs per game and are 16th in batting average.
Ryan Jeffers leads the Twins with 10 homers and is 8th in the league in that category. He also has 33 RBIs, which is 14th in the league. Alex Kirilloff has two homers in his last five games and is 5/14 during that stretch. Overall, the Twins have the league’s 4th best isolated power figure. The Twins are 15-12 at home this year, and the Royals are 21-8 at home compared to 13-14 on the road.
Minnesota Twins ML -132
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies
Guardians (-153) – Rockies (+129) | O/U 11.0
Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late for the Guardians, going 8/19 with four homers in his last five games. Overall, he is hitting .272 with 16 homers and 56 RBIs. Cleveland is the heavy favorite on Wednesday, with the moneyline sitting at -153. The over/under line is currently at 11 runs, and the game is set to get started at 8:40 PM ET.
Logan Allen is starting for the Guardians, and he is 6-2 with a 4.89 ERA. So far, he has three quality starts and is averaging 7.89 strikeouts per nine innings. The Rockies are going with Ty Blach, who is 1-2 with a 4.55 ERA. Blach has a 2.94 ERA at home compared to 9.0 on the road. Overall, his opponents are hitting .295 off him this year.
Cleveland comes into Wednesday’s game with an overall record of 37-18, which has them leading the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Royals. The Guardians are 25-10 as the favorite and 12-8 as the underdog. As for the Rockies, they are 19-35 overall and trail the Dodgers by 14.5 games in the NL West.
Colorado’s offense is hitting .247, which is 8th in the league. Ezequiel Tovar has been hot of late, going 13/39 with two homers in his last eight games. Overall, he is hitting .286 with seven homers. Ryan McMahon leads the Rockies with 33 RBIs and 10 homers.
Cleveland Guardians ML -153
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
Nationals (+135) – Braves (-160) | O/U 8.5
Washington is 24-29 overall and 6-6 in divisional matchups, while the Braves are 31-21 and 11-6 against other teams in the NL East. The Nationals trail the Phillies by 12.5 games in the NL East, and the Braves are five games back. Washington is sending MacKenzie Gore to the mound, and he is 3-4 with a 3.04 ERA this season. Gore will be facing a Braves offense that is led by Marcell Ozuna, who is 3rd in the majors with 16 homers and leads the Braves with 48 RBIs.
Spencer Schwellenbach is making his season debut for the Braves, and he will be facing a Nationals offense that is near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories. However, CJ Abrams is 8/32 with two homers over his last eight games. Keibert Ruiz is hitting .435 over that same stretch and .266 for the season.
First pitch for this one is set for 7:20 PM ET, and the Braves are the -160 favorites. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs. Washington is 21-27 as the underdog, and the Braves are 30-18 as the favorite. The Nationals are 3-2 as the favorite. BSSO is carrying the game on TV.
Atlanta Braves ML -160
Over Under Plays
Oakland Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Athletics (+152) – Rays (-183) | O/U 8.0
The Athletics are the +152 moneyline underdogs for Wednesday’s matchup against the Rays, who are favored at -183. Oakland is 23-33 overall and 4th in the AL West. They are 5-12 against AL West teams. The Rays are 26-29 and trail the Yankees by 10.5 games in the AL East. They are 9-11 against other AL East teams.
Joey Estes will be looking for his first win of the season on Wednesday, and he is 0-3 with an 8.78 ERA. So far, he has gone 0-3 with an 8.78 ERA. Ryan Pepiot is 3-2 with a 3.98 ERA and a home ERA of 6.66. Overall, opponents are hitting just .171 off him.
Offensively, the Athletics are 23rd in scoring at 3.7 runs per game, while the Rays are 26th at 3.9 runs per game. The Athletics are hitting just .222 as a team, which is 23rd in the league. The Rays are 16th at .233.
First pitch is set for 6:50 PM ET, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. The game will be on NSPCA.
Over 8 Runs -115
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Red Sox (+156) – Orioles (-187) | O/U 7.5
Heading into this one, the Orioles are the favorites on the moneyline (-187), and they are 34-19 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL East. The Red Sox are 3rd in the division at 28-27 and are 8.5 games behind the Yankees. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and first pitch is set for 6:35 PM ET.
Offensively, the Red Sox are 12th in scoring and are 10th in team batting average. They will be facing Corbin Burnes, who is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA. Burnes has made 11 starts and has eight quality starts. Kutter Crawford is starting for the Red Sox, and he is 2-3 with a 2.89 ERA. Crawford will be facing an Orioles offense that is 2nd in homers and 3rd in runs per game.
Rafael Devers is hitting .289 with 10 homers for the Red Sox and is 7/18 in his last five games. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the team with 28 RBIs but is hitting just .211. For the Orioles, Adley Rutschman is hitting .299 with 10 homers and 37 RBIs. He is 8/26 in his last seven games. Gunnar Henderson is 2nd in the league with 17 homers.
Over 7.5 Runs -108
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels
Yankees (-192) – Angels (+161) | O/U 8.5
The Yankees are the heavy favorite on the moneyline in this one, with their line sitting at -192 compared to the Angels at +161. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs. The Yankees are 37-19 overall and are 1st in the AL East, while the Angels are 21-33 and trail the Mariners by eight games in the AL West.
Los Angeles has won two straight and are 4-2 in divisional games. The Angels are 7-19 at home and 14-14 on the road. The Angels are 6-16 as the home underdog and 20-29 overall. So far, they have lost eight straight series at home.
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today and is 6-1 with an ERA of 2.11. He is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run and has five quality starts this year. Tyler Anderson is starting for the Angels and is 5-4 with a 2.52 ERA. He is 2-1 at home and has won three straight starts. So far, he has seven quality starts and is averaging 6.16 strikeouts per nine innings.
The Yankees are the top-scoring team in the league and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. As for the Angels, they are 5th in homers and are averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Heading into today’s game, the Angels are 9th in batting average and 15th in on-base percentage. New York’s Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have both hit four homers in their last seven games.
Over 8.5 Runs -106
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
Marlins (+148) – Padres (-175) | O/U 7.5
Yu Darvish and the Padres are the heavy favorites today, with the moneyline odds sitting at -175. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs. San Diego is 30-28 overall and 3rd in the NL West, 5.5 games behind the Dodgers. Miami is 19-37 and 5th in the NL East, 19 games behind the Phillies. The Padres have won three straight games and have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Marlins.
Braxton Garrett is starting for the Marlins, and he is coming off a complete game win in his last outing. Yu Darvish is 4-2 this season and has a 3.04 ERA. His last outing was a rough one, as he gave up seven earned runs and one homer over 5 2/3 innings. So far, Darvish has a .199 opponents batting average and has three quality starts.
Miami’s offense is 29th in scoring, at 3.6 runs per game, and they are hitting just .232 as a team. On the other side, the Padres are 4th in batting average and are 3rd in homers. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both tied for the team lead in homers for the Padres. Profar also has 35 RBIs, which is 12th in the league.
Over 7.5 Runs +100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox
Blue Jays (-178) – White Sox (+150) | O/U 8.5
Paul DeJong has seven homers for the White Sox this season, but he is hitting just .226. The White Sox are 15-41 and trail the Guardians by 22.5 games in the AL Central. They are 5-19 in divisional games and have lost seven straight games. The Blue Jays are 25-29 and trail the Yankees by 11 games. Toronto is 5th in the AL East and has won two straight games. Toronto is 19-15 as the favorite and 6-14 as the underdog.
The Blue Jays are starting Alek Manoah, who is 1-1 this year and is coming off a loss to the Tigers. In that game, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up four earned runs. The White Sox are starting Chris Flexen, who is 2-4 with a 5.69 ERA. He has a WHIP of 1.37 and has two quality starts in 11 appearances. Flexen has a 7.61 ERA at home compared to 5.07 on the road. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.
First pitch for this one is set for 7:40 PM ET, and the Blue Jays are the favorite, with their moneyline odds sitting at -178. The White Sox are +150, and the over/under line is 8.5 runs. The White Sox are the worst hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .278, and the Blue Jays are 22nd in scoring at 4 runs per game. Toronto’s offense is hitting .236, which is 14th in the MLB.
Over 8.5 Runs -105
Noel is from Philadelphia, PA. He went to West Chester University and graduated with a Bachelor’s degree in Communications in Media & Culture.
