Game Preview

Washington Commanders vs New York Jets Pick and Preview

Garrett Wilson

Non-Conference NFL Matchup

Point Spread: Jets -3 | Total Points: 37

This week, the Commanders will look to snap their current five-game losing streak with a victory over the Jets. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 4-10. The Commanders took on the Rams in week 15, but they fell short, losing by a score of 28-20. With an 8-point loss, the Commanders added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 6.5-point underdogs prior to the game. Going into the game vs. Los Angeles, the over/under line was 48.5. With a combined total of 48 points, the under hit in this game.

Coming into this week’s non-conference matchup vs the Commanders, the Jets have a below .500 record at 5-9. The Last time they played, the Jets were handed a 30-0 loss by the Dolphins. With a 30-point loss, the Jets added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 7-point underdogs prior to the game. In their most recent game against Miami, the pre-game over/under line was set at 36, leading the under to hit with a combined total of 30 points.

Washington Commanders vs New York Jets History

The last three times that the Jets have faced off vs. the Commanders as the favorite, they have gone 3-0. The over/under record in the five most recent head-to-head games between the Commanders and Jets is 4-1, with an average of 46 points per game. The last three times that the Commanders have been on the road vs. the Jets, the over/under record is 3-0.

  • In their last three games away from home, the Commanders have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team’s offense averaged 18 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last five games at home, the Jets have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 1-3-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 12 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Commanders have a straight-up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-4-1.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the favorite, New York has an ATS mark of 0-4-1 while going 1-4 straight up.

Notable Injuries

Washington Commanders

  • Ricky Stromberg – Knee (Out)
  • Braeden Daniels – Shoulder (Out)
  • John Ridgeway III – Foot (Questionable)
  • Curtis Hodges – Back (Out)
  • Curtis Brooks – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Armani Rogers – Achilles (Out)
  • Joshua Pryor – Illness (Questionable)
  • Efe Obada – Leg (Out)
  • Tyler Larsen – Knee (Questionable)
  • Charles Leno Jr. – Calf (Questionable)
  • Jeremy Reaves – Knee (Out)
  • James Smith-Williams – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • De’Jon Harris – Quad (Out)
  • David Bada – Triceps (Out)
  • Dax Milne – Groin (Out)
  • Jamin Davis – Shoulder (Out)
  • Shaka Toney – Suspension (Out)
  • Darrick Forrest – Shoulder (Out)
  • Brian Robinson Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)

New York Jets

  • Alijah Vera-Tucker – Achilles (Out)
  • Zach Wilson – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Bradlee Anae – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Quinton Jefferson – Hip (Out)
  • Wes Schweitzer – Calf (Out)
  • Connor McGovern – Knee (Out)
  • Al Woods – Achilles (Out)
  • C.J. Uzomah – Knee (Out)
  • John Franklin-Myers – Hip (Questionable)
  • Chuck Clark – Knee (Out)
  • Tanzel Smart – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ifeadi Odenigbo – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Perrion Winfrey – Foot (Out)
  • Jason Brownlee – Ankle (Probable)
  • Zaire Barnes – Hamstring (Out)
  • Solomon Thomas – Knee (Probable)
  • Jalyn Holmes – Elbow (Probable)
  • Jordan Whitehead – Knee (Questionable)
  • Mekhi Becton – Knee/shoulder (Probable)
  • Israel Abanikanda – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Aaron Rodgers – Achilles (Out)

Keys To Victory: Washington Commanders

Against New York, the Commanders will be on the attack in the passing game, as they are throwing the ball an average of 38.9 times per contest. Their preference to air the ball out has led to the team ranking 21st in points per game (20.1). Sam Howell comes into the game with 3568 passing yards on a completion percentage of 64.7%. The team’s top receiver, Terry McLaurin, has caught 66 passes and has accumulated 835 receiving yards this season. A major reason for the team’s lack of offense is their inability to generate production with the rushing attack. Heading into today’s game, the team’s below-average number of rush attempts has turned into an average of just 98.4 rushing yards per game.

Keys To Victory: New York Jets

At 14.4 points per contest, the New York offense is 28th in the league. A major issue behind the team’s lack of passing production is their inability to protect the quarterback. This year, they have allowed the 26th most hits on the quarterback. On a per-attempt basis, the Jets average 3.9 yards while carrying the ball an average of 20.6 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 30th in the league.

Betting Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Commanders have a straight-up record of 3-6-1 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 21 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last ten home games, New York has an ATS record of just 2-7-1. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 11 points per game.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Commanders have a straight-up record of 1-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Jets have a straight-up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 0-4-1.

Prediction

  • Washington Commanders 21 – New York Jets 18
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