AFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Browns -3 | Total Points: 40
Overall, the Browns have an above .500 record at 9-5 which includes their two-game winning streak. In AFC action, the team is 6-3. The Browns are coming off a 20-17 win over the Bears. Being favored by 2.5 points against the Bears, the Browns came through with an ATS win. The over/under line for their most recent game against Chicago was 37.5. Finishing with a combined total of 37 points, the under hit in this matchup.
Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Browns, the Texans have an above .500 record at 8-6. Taking a look at their latest game, the Texans defeated the Titans by a score of 19-16. The Texans not only won straight-up but also covered the spread as 3-point underdogs. The under hit in the Texans’ most recent game, where the teams’ combined total was 35 points. The line prior to the game stood at 38.
Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans History
The Browns and Texans faced off one time last season, with the Browns picking up a 27-14 win. In last year’s matchup, the Browns covered the spread while the teams combined for 41, which was below the over/under line of 46.5 points. Offensively, the Browns finished with 304 total yards, with 130 coming in the passing game and 174 on the ground. The Texans finished with 283 yards of offense in the loss.
Over their previous five games against the Texans, the Browns have put together a record of 3-2. In the last five head-to-head games between the Browns and Texans, the average combined point total is 39 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 2-3.
Notable Injuries
Cleveland Browns
- Michael Woods II – Suspension (Out)
- Dawson Deaton – Knee (Out)
- Dawand Jones – Knee (Out)
- Myles Garrett – Shoulder (Probable)
- David Njoku – Knee (Questionable)
- Wyatt Teller – Ankle (Questionable)
- Joe Flacco – Calf (Probable)
- Geron Christian – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Jerome Ford – Wrist (Probable)
- Kareem Hunt – Groin (Questionable)
- Za’Darius Smith – Personal (Questionable)
- Jacob Phillips – Pectoral (Out)
- Jedrick Wills Jr. – Knee (Out)
- Grant Delpit – Groin (Out)
- Jordan Kunaszyk – Calf (Questionable)
- Drew Forbes – Illness (Out)
- Juan Thornhill – Calf (Questionable)
- Jakeem Grant Sr. – Knee (Out)
- Deshaun Watson – Shoulder (Out)
- Jack Conklin – Knee (Out)
- Joel Bitonio – Back/knee (Questionable)
- Rodney McLeod Jr. – Bicep (Out)
- Ty Nsekhe – Bicep (Out)
- Ogbo Okoronkwo – Pectoral (Questionable)
- Maurice Hurst II – Pectoral (Out)
- Ethan Pocic – Stinger (Questionable)
- Anthony Walker Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
- Nick Chubb – Knee (Out)
Houston Texans
- M.J. Stewart – Shoulder (Out)
- Tavierre Thomas – Hamstring (Out)
- Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
- Jimmie Ward – Concussion (Questionable)
- Eric Murray – Knee (Out)
- Hassan Ridgeway – Achilles (Out)
- C.J. Stroud – Concussion (Doubtful)
- Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
- Grayland Arnold – Calf (Out)
- Nico Collins – Calf (Questionable)
- Blake Cashman – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Tytus Howard – Knee (Out)
- John Metchie III – Illness (Questionable)
- Denzel Perryman – Achilles (Questionable)
- Maliek Collins – Hip (Questionable)
- Noah Brown – Knee (Questionable)
- Brevin Jordan – Illness (Questionable)
- Shaq Mason – Calf (Questionable)
- Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Probable)
- Dylan Horton – Personal (Out)
- DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
- Jared Wayne – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
- Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
- Teagan Quitoriano – Groin (Out)
- Jarrett Patterson – Ankle (Out)
- Tank Dell – Leg (Out)
- Will Anderson Jr. – Ankle (Questionable)
- Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
Keys To Victory: Cleveland Browns
On offense, the Browns are averaging 22.1 points per game, putting them 11th in the NFL. Joe Flacco is the starting quarterback for the Browns in this game. Across three games, he has completed 57.9% of his passes and holds the 37th position among quarterbacks in passing yards. His passer rating stands at 81.6. This season, the Browns offense is handing the ball off at one of the higher rates in the NFL. This has translated to an average of 31.1 yards per game, placing them 10th in the NFL.
Keys To Victory: Houston Texans
In what is projected to be a tightly contested game, C.J. Stroud will be looking to put together a strong performance for a Houston offense ranked 14th in points per game. For the season, Stroud is averaging 279 passing yards per game through the air. This figure has him sitting 7th among quarterbacks. Stroud comes in with a passer rating of 98.8 and is averaging 13.2 yards per completion. Nico Collins has been targeted 86 times this season, and has caught 60 passes this season. He comes into the game with a total of 1004 receiving yards. Houston comes in with an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt and have an average of 26.6 attempts per game. In terms of total rushing yards, they are currently ranked 21st in the league.
Betting Trends
- Through their last ten road games, Cleveland has an ATS record of just 3-6-1. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 22 points per game.
- When looking at their past three matchups at home, Houston has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- Through their last three games as the underdog, the Texans have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
- Through their last three games as the favorite, the Browns have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight up mark of 3-0.
Prediction
- Houston Texans 21 – Cleveland Browns 19
