AFC South Divisional Matchup
Point Spread: Titans -3 | Total Points: 37
Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Titans, the Texans have an above .500 record at 7-6. The Texans are coming off a 30-6 loss to the Jets. Not only did the Texans lose the game, but they also didn’t cover the spread as 3-point favorites. The over/under line for their game was set at 33.5 points, and the teams exceeded it with a combined total of 36 points.
Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Texans, the Titans have a below .500 record at 5-8. In week 14, the Titans hit the road to face the Dolphins, coming away with a 28-27 win. Heading into the game, the Titans were 13.5-point underdogs. With the straight-up win, they also covered the spread. Totaling 55 points alongside Miami, the game’s point total exceeded the set over/under line of 44.
Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans History
In the two head-to-head matchups last season, the Texans and Titans each picked up one win apiece. The Texans and Titans split their games vs. the spread last season. Together, they combined to average 30 points per contest and finished with an over/under mark of 0-2. Offensively, the Titans averaged 313 yards per game in the head-to-head matchups compared to the Texans at 223 yards.
In the last five head-to-head matchups, the Titans have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. When looking back over the last ten head to head meetings between the Texans and Titans, the Texans hold the edge with an ATS record of 6-4.
Notable Injuries
Houston Texans
- Hassan Ridgeway – Achilles (Out)
- Eric Murray – Knee (Out)
- Ka’imi Fairbairn – Quad (Questionable)
- M.J. Stewart – Shoulder (Out)
- Tavierre Thomas – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
- Tytus Howard – Knee (Out)
- Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
- Teagan Quitoriano – Groin (Out)
- C.J. Stroud – Concussion (Questionable)
- Grayland Arnold – Calf (Out)
- Nico Collins – Calf (Questionable)
- Blake Cashman – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Dylan Horton – Personal (Out)
- Jarrett Patterson – Ankle (Out)
- Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
- Will Anderson Jr. – Ankle (Questionable)
- Tank Dell – Leg (Out)
- DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
- Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
- Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
- Jared Wayne – Undisclosed (Out)
- Shaq Mason – Calf (Questionable)
- Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Probable)
- Maliek Collins – Chest (Questionable)
- George Fant – Hip (Questionable)
- Noah Brown – Knee (Questionable)
- Henry To’oto’o – Hamstring (Questionable)
Tennessee Titans
- Joe Jones – Finger (Out)
- Chris Hubbard – Biceps (Out)
- Jeffery Simmons – Knee (Questionable)
- Kristian Fulton – Hamstring (Out)
- Kearis Jackson – Ankle (Out)
- Hassan Haskins – Undisclosed (Out)
- Nicholas Petit-Frere – Shoulder (Out)
- Caleb Farley – Back (Out)
- Denico Autry – Knee (Questionable)
- Aaron Brewer – Neck (Questionable)
- Daniel Brunskill – Ankle (Questionable)
- Kevin Rader – Illness (Questionable)
- Teair Tart – Non Injury Related (personal) (Questionable)
- Kyle Philips – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Jack Gibbens – Back (Questionable)
- K’Von Wallace – Quad (Probable)
- Will Levis – Ankle (Probable)
- Anthony Kendall – Knee (Questionable)
- Chance Campbell – Undisclosed (Out)
- Julius Chestnut – Hamstring (Out)
- Ryan Stonehouse – Knee (Out)
- Shakel Brown – Ankle (Out)
- Josh Whyle – Knee (Questionable)
- Sean Murphy-Bunting – Knee (Probable)
- Kyle Peko – Calf (Out)
Keys To Victory: Houston Texans
Houston gets set to take on Tennessee, averaging 22.1 points per game. C.J. Stroud and the Texans passing game figures to be a key part of the game plan, as the team is throwing the ball at a rate above the league average. For the season, Stroud has thrown for 3631 yards through the air and has Houston sitting 4th in passing yards per game. It is worth noting that Stroud is questionable on the injury report with a concussion. Wide receiver Nico Collins is pacing the Texans with 1004 receiving yards. Overall, he has 60 catches on 86 targets. Houston has managed to find success on offense, even though they are ranked just 25th in rush yards per game. However, this lack of production has more to do with limited opportunites, as they are a below-average group in attempts.
Keys To Victory: Tennessee Titans
The Titans offense has been better at home this year, averaging 23.8 at home compared to 14 on the road. In terms of overall scoring, they are 23rd in the league. Starting at quarterback for the Titans is Will Levis. So far, he has completed 58.3% of his passes and is 29th among other quarterbacks in passing yards. His passer rating so far is 86.8. If the Titans are going to turn things around on offense, they would benefit from improving their numbers on the ground. So far, Tennessee is ranked just 20th in attempts and 18th in yards.
Betting Trends
- Through their last ten road contests, the Texans’ offense has averaged 20 points per game while allowing an average of 23. Houston posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 6-4 ATS.
- In their last five games at home, the Titans have a straight-up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 16 points per game in these contests.
- As the betting underdog, the Texans have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Houston posted a straight-up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
- As the betting favorite, the Titans have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Tennessee posted a straight-up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.
Prediction
- Tennessee Titans 20 – Houston Texans 19
