Non-Conference NFL Matchups
Point Spread: Lions -4.5 | Total Points: 47.5
Heading into the game, the Broncos are the 9th ranked team in the AFC with a record of 7-6. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 4-5. The Broncos are coming off a win in their last game, where they beat the Chargers with a score of 24-7. Going into the game, the Broncos were actually 3-point underdogs. This resulted in an ATS win for the Broncos. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 45 points. By combining for 31 points, the under hit.
Heading into the game, the Lions are the 3rd ranked team in the NFC with a record of 9-4. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 6-3. This week, the Lions will look to bounce back from a 28-13 loss to the Bears. In addition to losing straight-up, the Lions also lost vs. the spread as 3-point favorites. The under hit in the Lions’ most recent game was as the teams combined for 41 points. The line going into the game was 44.5.
Denver Broncos vs Detroit Lions History
The last three times the Broncos have traveled to take on the Lions, they are 2-1. In the last five head-to-head games between the Broncos and Lions, the average combined point total is 46 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 4-1.
- Denver has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 21 points per game while allowing 17. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- In their last five home games, Detroit has averaged 22 points per game while allowing 27. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Broncos have a strong straight-up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Lions have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.
Notable Injuries
Denver Broncos
- Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
- Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
- Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
- Samaje Perine – Knee (Questionable)
- P.J. Locke – Neck (Questionable)
- Jonathon Cooper – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
- Nik Bonitto – Knee (Questionable)
- Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
- Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
- Kareem Jackson – Suspension (Out)
- K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
Detroit Lions
- Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
- Halapoulivaati Vaitai – Back (Out)
- Frank Ragnow – Knee/back/toe (Questionable)
- Scott Daly – Knee (Out)
- Jason Cabinda – Knee (Out)
- Emmanuel Moseley – Knee (Out)
- C.J. Gardner-Johnson – Pectoral (Out)
- Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)
- Mohamed Ibrahim – Hip (Out)
- Alim McNeill – Knee (Out)
- Matt Nelson – Ankle (Out)
- Josh Reynolds – Back (Questionable)
- Zonovan Knight – Shoulder (Out)
- James Houston – Ankle (Out)
- Taylor Decker – Back (Questionable)
- Benito Jones – Neck (Questionable)
- Hendon Hooker – Knee (Questionable)
Keys To Victory: Denver Broncos
The Broncos will be looking for quarterback Russell Wilson to continue the team’s efficient play in the passing game. Overall, Denver is averaging 22.1 points per game, placing them 13th in the league. Compared to other quarterbacks, Wilson is ranked 17th in passing yards while completing 67.2% of his passes. Heading into the game, the team’s top receiver Courtland Sutton who through 13 games has 699 receiving yards this season. For the year, the Denver offense is averaging 4.4 yards per carry, placing them 7th in the NFL.
Keys To Victory: Detroit Lions
On offense, the Lions are currently averaging 26.2 points per game, ranking them 7th in the NFL. One area that the Detroit offense must improve is their ability to protect the quarterback. On the season, they are ranked 18th in quarterback hits allowed per game. Despite this trend, the Lions are still one of the league leaders in pass yards per game. With an average of 137.5 rushing yards per game, the Lions currently rank 5th in the NFL. This figure is based on 29.4 rushing attempts (7th).
Betting Trends
- Across their last three road contests, Denver has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 21 points per game.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Lion’s offense has averaged 23 points per game while allowing an average of 24. Detroit posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 7-3 ATS.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Broncos have a straight-up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.
- Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Lions have a straight up record of 1-2.
Prediction
- Detroit Lions 24 – Denver Broncos 19
