AFC South Divisional Matchup
Point Spread: Colts -1 | Total Points: 42.5
Overall, the Colts have an above .500 record at 6-5. Helping their cause is the fact that they are in the midst of a three game winning streak. In AFC action, the team is 4-3. In their most recent matchup, the Colts secured a win against the Buccaneers with a final score of 27-20. Against the spread, the Colts’ 7-point win was enough to cover as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under line for their game was set at 44.5 points, and the teams exceeded it with a combined total of 47 points.
Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Colts, the Titans have a below .500 record at 4-7. In their most recent game, the Titans beat the Panthers by a score of 17-10. Against the spread, the Titans’ 7-point win was enough to cover as 3.5-point favorites. In their most recent game against Carolina, the pre-game over/under line was set at 35.5, leading the under to hit on a combined total of 27 points.
Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans History
Going back to last season, the Titans and Colts faced off two times, with the Titans going 2-0. Against the spread, the Titans had the edge in last year’s head-to-head matchups, going 2-0. On the over/under, the teams averaged 35 points per game, leading to an OU mark of 0-2. The Colts’ offense finished their head-to-head matchups with 328.5 yards per game of offense. As for the Titans, they averaged 248.5 yards offensively.
The last five times the Colts have faced off against the Titans on the road, they are above .500 at 3-2. Looking back over the previous three times that the Colts and Titans have faced off, they have combined to average 35 points per game and have an over/under record of 0-3.
Notable Injuries
Indianapolis Colts
- Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
- Isaiah McKenzie – Toe (Probable)
- DeForest Buckner – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Jonathan Taylor – Thumb (Out)
- Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
- Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
- JuJu Brents – Quadriceps (Questionable)
- Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
- Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
- Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
- Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
- Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)
- Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
- Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
- Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
- Grover Stewart – Suspended (Out)
Tennessee Titans
- Chris Hubbard – Biceps (Out)
- Hassan Haskins – Undisclosed (Out)
- Kearis Jackson – Ankle (Out)
- Treylon Burks – Concussion (Probable)
- Nicholas Petit-Frere – Shoulder (Out)
- Julius Chestnut – Hamstring (Out)
- Chance Campbell – Undisclosed (Out)
- Caleb Farley – Back (Out)
- Shakel Brown – Ankle (Out)
- Daniel Brunskill – Knee (Probable)
- Will Levis – Ankle (Probable)
- Luke Gifford – Shin (Questionable)
- Ryan Tannehill – Ankle (Probable)
- Aaron Brewer – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Roger McCreary – Foot (Questionable)
Keys To Victory: Indianapolis Colts
Offensively, the Colts are averaging 24.5 points per game (7th). Indianapolis will look to be more efficient in the passing game this week, as they are among the league leaders in attempts per game but are averaging just 220 yards per game through the air. On the season, quarterback Gardner Minshew has completed 63.0% of his passes, leading a passer rating of 81.4. Indianapolis will need to continue getting receiver Michael Pittman Jr. involved, as he has caught 76 balls for a total of 784 receiving yards so far this year. A key to the team’s offensive success is their effectiveness on the ground. On the season, the Indianapolis offense is 13th in rush yards per attempt. This figure has led to an average of 121.4 yards per game.
Keys To Victory: Tennessee Titans
This season, the Titans have had their problems on offense, as they are averaging just 16.8 points per game. Tennessee’s passing offense, heading into this week’s game, holds the 26th ranking in passing yards. In terms of attempts, they are 28th, with an average of 28.8 passes per game. A major reason for the team’s lack of offense is their inability to generate production with the rushing attack. Heading into today’s game, the team’s below-average number of rush attempts has turned into an average of just 102.7 rushing yards per game.
Betting Trends
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Indianapolis has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Tennessee has an ATS record of 0-5 while averaging 11 per game. The team went 0-5 overall in these games.
- Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Titans have a straight-up record of 0-3. But their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.
- As the betting favorite, the Colts have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their straight up record was 3-2.
Prediction
- Indianapolis Colts 20 – Tennessee Titans 18
