AFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Broncos -1.5 | Total Points: 36
Overall, the Browns have an above .500 record at 7-3. Helping their cause is the fact that they are in the midst of a three game winning streak. In AFC action, the team is 5-2. In their most recent game, the Browns beat the Steelers by a score of 13-10. The Browns were able to cover the spread vs. Pittsburgh, as they went into the game favored by 2.5. The under hit in the Browns’ most recent game, where the teams’ combined total was 23 points. The line prior to the game stood at 34.
Heading into this week’s matchup against Cleveland, the Broncos have won four straight games and have a current record of 5-5. The Broncos hosted the Vikings in 11. This game ended in a 21-20 win for Denver. Despite winning the game, the Broncos did not cover the spread vs. the Vikings, as they were favored by 2.5. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 42.5 points. By combining for 41 points, the under hit.
Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos History
Heading into this week’s matchup, the Browns have the edge in their recent matchups against Denver, going 2-1. In the last three games Cleveland is averaging 17 points per game compared to 18 for the Broncos.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Cleveland has an ATS record of 1-1-1 while averaging 30 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- Through their last five home contests, the Broncos offense has averaged 21 points per game while allowing an average of 33. Denver posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-2-1 ATS.
- As the betting underdog, the Browns have an ATS mark of just 2-2-1 in their last five games. Cleveland posted a straight-up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Broncos have a straight-up record of 2-1, while going 1-2 against the spread.
Notable Injuries
Cleveland Browns
- Cameron Mitchell – Shoulder (Out)
- Za’Darius Smith – Personal (Questionable)
- Matthew Adams – Quad (Probable)
- Grant Delpit – Thigh (Questionable)
- Denzel Ward – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Wyatt Teller – Ankle (Probable)
- Ogbo Okoronkwo – Groin (Questionable)
- Greg Newsome II – Calf (Questionable)
- Dawand Jones – Knee (Probable)
- Mike Ford – Thumb/ribs (Probable)
- Joel Bitonio – Knee (Questionable)
- Myles Garrett – Ankle (Questionable)
- David Njoku – Knee (Questionable)
- Michael Woods II – Achilles (Out)
- Dawson Deaton – Knee (Out)
- Thomas Graham Jr. – Ankle (Out)
- Jordan Kunaszyk – Knee (Questionable)
- Jacob Phillips – Pectoral (Out)
- Jedrick Wills Jr. – Knee (Out)
- Nick Chubb – Knee (Out)
- Anthony Walker Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Juan Thornhill – Calf (Questionable)
- Drew Forbes – Illness (Out)
- Deshaun Watson – Shoulder (Out)
- Jack Conklin – Knee (Out)
- Jakeem Grant Sr. – Knee (Out)
- Marquise Goodwin – Concussion (Questionable)
- Rodney McLeod Jr. – Bicep (Out)
- Ty Nsekhe – Bicep (Out)
Denver Broncos
- Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
- Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
- Brandon Johnson – Hamstring (Out)
- Mitchell Fraboni – Back (Probable)
- Samaje Perine – Knee (Probable)
- D.J. Jones – Knee (Questionable)
- Josey Jewell – Back (Probable)
- Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
- Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Out)
- Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
- Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
- P.J. Locke – Ankle (Questionable)
- Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
- Kareem Jackson – Suspension (Out)
- K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
Keys To Victory: Cleveland Browns
Cleveland enters this week’s action averaging 22.7 points per game, placing them 11th in the NFL. Quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has thrown for 295 yards, with the team ranking 26th in yards per game through the air. This below-average production has come despite the team averaging 34.9 passing attempts. Wide receiver Amari Cooper is pacing the Browns with 749 receiving yards. Overall, he has 45 catches on 80 targets. This season, the Browns offense is handing the ball off at one of the higher rates in the NFL. This has translated to an average of 34.3 yards per game, placing them 3rd in the NFL.
Keys To Victory: Denver Broncos
The Denver offense is currently ranked 13th in the league, averaging 21.7 points per contest. Starting at quarterback for the Broncos is Russell Wilson. So far, he has completed 69.0% of his passes and is 21st among other quarterbacks in passing yards. His passer rating so far is 104.3. For the year, the Denver offense is averaging just 4.5 yards per carry, placing them just 6th in the NFL. But because they have remained committed to the run, they are still an above-average unit in yards per game on the ground (24.7).
Betting Trends
- Through their last ten road contests, the Browns offense has averaged 22 points per game while allowing an average of 26. Cleveland posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 3-5-2 ATS.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Broncos offense has averaged 17 points per game while allowing an average of 28. Denver posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 4-5-1 ATS.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Cleveland has an ATS mark of 4-4-2 while going 4-6 straight up.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Broncos have a straight up record of 2-1, while going 1-2 against the spread.
Prediction
- Denver Broncos 20 – Cleveland Browns 18
