AFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Ravens -3.5 | Total Points: 48
Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Chargers, the Ravens have an above .500 record at 8-3. Most recently, the Ravens faced off against the Bengals at home. This game ended in a 34-20 win for Baltimore. Since they were favored by 4 against the Bengals, the Ravens secured an ATS victory. The over/under line for the game was set at 46.5 points, and the final combined total surpassed it with 54 points.
This week, the Chargers will look to snap their current two-game losing streak with a victory over the Ravens. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 4-6. Week 11 saw the Chargers take on the Packers on the road, resulting in a 23-20 loss. Given that the Chargers were favored by 3, they were also handed a loss vs. the spread. Going into the game vs. Green Bay, the over/under line was 44. With a combined total of 43 points, the under hit in this game.
Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers History
The last five times the Ravens have faced off against the Chargers on the road, they are above .500 at 3-2. Against the spread, the Chargers have gone 2-1 the last three times they have faced off against the Ravens as the underdog.
- The Ravens are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
- Across their ten previous home games, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 23 points per game.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Chargers have a straight-up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Ravens have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
Notable Injuries
Baltimore Ravens
- Odell Beckham Jr. – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Ronnie Stanley – Knee (Probable)
- Tyus Bowser – Knee (Out)
- Marlon Humphrey – Calf (Questionable)
- Mark Andrews – Ankle (Out)
- Trayvon Mullen – Toe (Out)
- Damarion Williams – Ankle (Questionable)
- David Ojabo – Ankle/knee (Out)
- Ar’Darius Washington – Chest (Out)
- Nick Moore – Achilles (Out)
- J.K. Dobbins – Achilles (Out)
- Trenton Simpson – Concussion (Questionable)
- Andrew Vorhees – Knee (Out)
- Kevon Seymour – Shoulder (Out)
- Malik Hamm – Ankle (Out)
- Devin Duvernay – Knee (Questionable)
- Rashod Bateman – Foot (Questionable)
- Zay Flowers – Hip (Questionable)
- Arthur Maulet – Illness (Questionable)
Los Angeles Chargers
- Jalen Guyton – Groin (Questionable)
- Tanner Muse – Knee (Out)
- Joshua Palmer – Knee (Out)
- Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
- JT Woods – Illness (Questionable)
- Joey Bosa – Foot (Out)
- Mike Williams – Knee (Out)
- Gerald Everett – Chest (Questionable)
- Corey Linsley – Heart (Out)
- Raheem Layne – Knee (Out)
- Andrew Trainer – Undisclosed (Out)
- Amechi Uzodinma – Undisclosed (Out)
- Keenan Allen – Shoulder (Probable)
- Nick Vannett – Concussion (Questionable)
Keys To Victory: Baltimore Ravens
On offense, the Ravens are averaging 27.6 points per game, putting them 4th in the NFL. In his 11 games. Lamar Jackson has thrown 12 touchdowns, which is 8th among quarterbacks. Additionally, he has 2441 passing yards, placing him 13th in his position. This season, the Ravens offense is handing the ball off at one of the higher rates in the NFL. This has translated to an average of 32.3 yards per game, placing them 1st in the NFL.
Keys To Victory: Los Angeles Chargers
On offense, the Chargers are currently averaging 25.9 points per game, ranking them 7th in the NFL. Justin Herbert holds a passer rating of 99.5, placing him 12th at his position. So far, he has 2609 passing yards and recorded 19 passing touchdowns. This season, the Los Angeles offense has been able to put up points at an above-average rate, even though they have struggled to move the ball on the ground. So far, they are averaging just 3.8 yards per attempt, leading to a per-game average of 105.7.
Betting Trends
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Baltimore has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
- In their last three games at home, the Chargers have a straight-up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 21 points per game in this stretch.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Chargers have a straight-up record of 1-9. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Ravens have a strong straight-up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
Prediction
- Los Angeles Chargers 26 – Baltimore Ravens 23
