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NFL Best Bets (Super Bowl)

Projections generated from 2,000 simulations.

Props

Player Bet Type Sportsbook Outcome Odds Value Proj. (Median) Proj. Win % Proj. ROI
Evan McPherson Total Field Goals Scored Caesars Under +140 1.5 1.0 71.7% 100.4%
Van Jefferson Total Receptions DraftKings Over +125 2.5 3.0 68.2% 85.3%
Matthew Stafford Total Passing Touchdowns FanDuel Over +148 2.5 3.0 57.6% 85.2%
Evan McPherson Total Field Goals Scored BetMGM Under +115 1.5 1.0 72.5% 83.4%
Van Jefferson Total Receptions FanDuel Over +120 2.5 3.0 68.2% 81.9%
Joe Mixon Total Receptions FanDuel Under +118 3.5 3.0 68.0% 80.3%
Kendall Blanton Total Receptions Caesars Over +130 3.5 4.0 61.3% 79.7%
Kendall Blanton Total Receptions DraftKings Over +130 3.5 4.0 61.3% 79.7%
Kendall Blanton Total Receptions BetMGM Over +130 3.5 4.0 61.3% 79.7%
Evan McPherson Total Field Goals Scored Caesars Under +110 1.5 1.0 71.7% 78.9%
Van Jefferson Total Receptions BetMGM Over +115 2.5 3.0 68.2% 78.5%
Van Jefferson Total Receptions Caesars Over +115 2.5 3.0 68.2% 78.5%
Joe Mixon Total Receptions BetMGM Under +115 3.5 3.0 68.0% 78.3%
Joe Mixon Total Receptions Caesars Under +115 3.5 3.0 68.0% 78.3%
Joe Mixon Total Receptions DraftKings Under +115 3.5 3.0 68.0% 78.3%
Joe Mixon Total Receptions DraftKings Under +115 3.5 3.0 68.0% 78.3%
Ja'Marr Chase To Score a Touchdown PointsBet Yes +130 Yes 1.0 60.0% 77.9%
Kendall Blanton Total Receptions DraftKings Over +125 3.5 4.0 61.3% 76.6%
Matt Gay Total Field Goals Scored Caesars Under +110 1.5 1.0 69.6% 76.6%
Evan McPherson Total Field Goals Scored BetMGM Under +105 1.5 1.0 71.7% 75.3%
Joe Mixon Total Receptions BetMGM Under +110 3.5 3.0 68.0% 74.9%
Joe Mixon Total Receptions BetMGM Under +110 3.5 3.0 68.0% 74.9%
Kendall Blanton Longest Reception DraftKings Over -105 15.5 19.0 78.5% 74.8%
Kendall Blanton Longest Reception BetMGM Over -105 15.5 19.0 78.5% 74.8%
Kendall Blanton Longest Reception Caesars Over -105 15.5 19.0 78.5% 74.8%
Kendall Blanton Longest Reception FanDuel Over -106 15.5 19.0 78.5% 74.1%
Kendall Blanton Total Receptions BetMGM Over +120 3.5 4.0 61.3% 73.6%
Kendall Blanton Total Receptions FanDuel Over +120 3.5 4.0 61.3% 73.6%
Matt Gay Total Field Goals Scored BetMGM Under +105 1.5 1.0 69.6% 73.1%
Sony Michel Longest Rush DraftKings Over -110 8.5 10.0 79.9% 72.6%
Sony Michel Longest Rush BetMGM Over -110 8.5 10.0 79.9% 72.6%
Ja'Marr Chase To Score a Touchdown PointsBet Yes +120 Yes 1.0 60.0% 71.9%
Cam Akers Total Rushing Attempts Caesars Over +120 16.5 18.0 59.8% 71.8%
Evan McPherson Total Field Goals Scored Caesars Under +100 1.5 1.0 71.7% 71.7%
Kendall Blanton Longest Reception BetMGM Over -110 15.5 19.0 78.5% 71.4%
Samaje Perine Total Rushing Yards PointsBet Over +130 5.5 7.0 54.5% 70.9%
Samaje Perine Total Rushing Yards PointsBet Over +130 5.5 7.0 54.5% 70.9%
Joe Mixon Total Receptions FanDuel Under +104 3.5 3.0 68.0% 70.8%
Sony Michel Longest Rush FanDuel Over -114 7.5 10.0 80.0% 70.2%
Samaje Perine Total Receptions BetMGM Over +105 1.5 2.0 66.5% 69.9%
Sony Michel Total Rushing Attempts FanDuel Over -114 5.5 7.0 79.4% 69.6%
Sony Michel Total Rushing Attempts FanDuel Over -114 5.5 7.0 79.4% 69.6%
Sony Michel Longest Rush DraftKings Over -115 8.5 10.0 79.9% 69.5%
Sony Michel Longest Rush BetMGM Over -115 8.5 10.0 79.9% 69.5%
Sony Michel Total Rushing Attempts BetMGM Over -115 5.5 7.0 79.4% 69.0%
Sony Michel Total Rushing Attempts BetMGM Over -115 5.5 7.0 79.4% 69.0%
Ja'Marr Chase To Score a Touchdown PointsBet Yes +115 Yes 1.0 60.0% 68.9%
Ja'Marr Chase To Score a Touchdown FanDuel Yes +115 Yes 1.0 60.0% 68.9%
Samaje Perine Longest Reception FanDuel Over -108 7.5 13.0 73.8% 68.3%
Sony Michel Total Rushing Attempts BetMGM Over -133 4.5 7.0 89.3% 67.1%
Samaje Perine Total Receptions DraftKings Over +100 1.5 2.0 66.5% 66.5%
Matt Gay Total Field Goals Scored Caesars Under -105 1.5 1.0 69.6% 66.3%
Sony Michel Total Rushing Attempts DraftKings Over -120 5.5 7.0 79.4% 66.2%
Sony Michel Total Rushing Attempts DraftKings Over -135 4.5 7.0 89.3% 66.1%
Joe Burrow Longest Pass FanDuel Over -108 39.5 48.0 71.4% 66.1%
Kendall Blanton Total Receiving Yards FanDuel Over -110 28.5 48.0 72.5% 66.0%
Ja'Marr Chase To Score a Touchdown FanDuel Yes +110 Yes 1.0 60.0% 65.9%
Cam Akers Total Rushing Attempts DraftKings Over +110 16.5 18.0 59.8% 65.8%
Matthew Stafford Total Passing Yards PointsBet Over -105 285.5 321.6 68.8% 65.5%
Samaje Perine Total Rushing Yards PointsBet Over +120 5.5 7.0 54.5% 65.5%
Cam Akers To Score a Touchdown PointsBet Yes +125 Yes 1.0 52.3% 65.4%
Samaje Perine Total Receptions FanDuel Over -102 1.5 2.0 66.5% 65.2%
Joe Burrow Longest Rush FanDuel Over -102 7.5 10.0 66.3% 65.0%
Joe Mixon Total Receptions Caesars Under -105 3.5 3.0 68.0% 64.8%
Joe Mixon Total Receptions Caesars Under -105 3.5 3.0 68.0% 64.8%
Cam Akers Total Rushing Attempts FanDuel Over +108 16.5 18.0 59.8% 64.6%
Kendall Blanton Total Receiving Yards FanDuel Over -110 29.5 48.0 70.7% 64.3%
Sony Michel Longest Rush BetMGM Over -125 7.5 10.0 80.0% 64.0%
Sony Michel Longest Rush DraftKings Over -125 7.5 10.0 80.0% 64.0%
Matthew Stafford Total Passing Yards FanDuel Over -110 281.5 321.6 70.3% 64.0%
Matthew Stafford Total Passing Yards FanDuel Over -110 281.5 321.6 70.3% 64.0%
Joe Mixon Total Rushing Yards FanDuel Under -105 60.5 46.0 67.2% 64.0%
Van Jefferson Longest Reception DraftKings Over -110 18.5 19.0 70.3% 63.9%
Van Jefferson Longest Reception BetMGM Over -110 18.5 19.0 70.3% 63.9%
Van Jefferson Longest Reception BetMGM Over -110 18.5 19.0 70.3% 63.9%
Sony Michel Total Rushing Attempts Caesars Over -140 4.5 7.0 89.3% 63.8%
Kendall Blanton Total Receiving Yards PointsBet Over -110 30.5 48.0 70.1% 63.7%
Joe Burrow Interceptions Thrown BetMGM Over -143 0.5 2.0 91.0% 63.6%