AFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Bengals -6.5 | Total Points: 47
Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Bengals, the Texans have a .500 record at 4-4. Most recently, the Texans faced off against the Buccaneers at home. This game ended in a 39-37 win for Houston. Although they won the game, the Texans failed to cover the spread against the Buccaneers despite being favored by 2.5. The over hit in their most recent game, as the Buccaneers and Texans combined for 76 points. The over/under line was 39.5.
Coming into this week 10 AFC matchup, the Bengals are in the middle of a four-game winning streak and have an above .500 record of 5-3. The Bengals had the Bills as their opponent in week 9. This game ended in a 24-18 win for the Bengals. Cincinnati was favored by 1.5 against the Bills and notched an ATS victory. The under bettors were successful in the Bengals’ most recent game, with a combined total of 42 points. The game’s betting line was 51.
Houston Texans vs Cincinnati Bengals History
Over their previous five games against the Bengals, the Texans have put together a record of 3-2. In the last five head-to-head games between the Texans and Bengals, the average combined point total is 31 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 1-4.
- Across their ten previous road games, Houston has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 20 points per game.
- The Bengals are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Texans have a straight-up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 8-2.
- The last ten games that Cincinnati was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.
Notable Injuries
Houston Texans
- Jimmie Ward – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Robert Woods – Foot (Questionable)
- Eric Murray – Knee (Out)
- Hassan Ridgeway – Achilles (Out)
- Ka’imi Fairbairn – Quad (Questionable)
- Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
- M.J. Stewart – Shoulder (Out)
- Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
- Brevin Jordan – Foot (Questionable)
- Charlie Heck – Foot (Questionable)
- Derek Stingley Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
- Teagan Quitoriano – Groin (Out)
- Dameon Pierce – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jake Hansen – Hand (Out)
- Steven Nelson – Back/neck (Questionable)
- Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Questionable)
- Blake Cashman – Knee (Questionable)
- Will Anderson Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
- George Fant – Knee (Probable)
- Tytus Howard – Knee (Probable)
- Nico Collins – Calf (Questionable)
- Jonathan Greenard – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Myjai Sanders – Knee (Questionable)
- Henry To’oto’o – Concussion (Questionable)
- Andrew Beck – Ankle/elbow/shoulder (Questionable)
- DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
- Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
- Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
- Jarrett Patterson – Ankle (Out)
- Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
- Juice Scruggs – Leg (Out)
Cincinnati Bengals
- Josh Tupou – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Tycen Anderson – Knee (Out)
- Chase Brown – Hamstring (Out)
- Devin Cochran – Knee (Out)
- Charlie Jones – Thumb (Questionable)
- Devonnsha Maxwell – Knee (Out)
- Sam Hubbard – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jalen Davis – Ankle (Probable)
- Tee Higgins – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Akeem Davis-Gaither – Knee (Questionable)
- Ja’Marr Chase – Back (Questionable)
Keys To Victory: Houston Texans
Houston gets set to take on the Cincinnati, averaging 23.4 points per game. C.J. Stroud and the Texans passing game figures to be a key part of the game plan, as the team is throwing the ball at a rate above the league average. For the season, Stroud has thrown for 2270 yards through the air and has Houston sitting 4th in passing yards per game. Heading into the game, the team’s top receiver Nico Collins through 8 games, has 631 receiving yards this season. This season, the Houston offense has been able to put up points at an above-average rate, even though they have struggled to move the ball on the ground. So far, they are averaging just 3.2 yards per attempt, leading to a per-game average of 87.
Keys To Victory: Cincinnati Bengals
Compared to other teams, the Cincinnati offense is having problems putting up points, averaging just 19.4 points per contest. As a team, Cincinnati ranks 18th in the NFL for passing yards per game, with an average of 216. Their passing yards per attempt of 5.6 places them at 18 in the league. If the Bengals are going to turn things around on offense, they would benefit from improving their numbers on the ground. So far, Cincinnati is ranked just 29th in attempts and 32nd in yards.
Betting Trends
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- When looking at their past ten home matchups, Cincinnati has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Texans have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups, their, straight up record was 3-2.
- Cincinnati has done well both straight up and vs. the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
Prediction
- Cincinnati Bengals 25 – Houston Texans 17
