Non-Conference NFL Matchups
Point Spread: Colts -0.5 | Total Points: 43.5
This week, the Saints will look to snap their current two-game losing streak with a victory over the Colts. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 3-4. In week 7, the Saints had the Jaguars at home. However, they lost the game by a score of 31-24. In addition to their defeat in the game, the Saints also fell short of covering the spread as 2.5-point favorites. Heading into the game, the over/under line was 41 points. As they combined for 55 points, the over hit.
Coming into the game, the Colts have lost two-straight and have a record of 3-4. The Colts hosted the Browns in 7. This game ended in a 39-38 loss for Indianapolis. Even with a loss to Cleveland, the Colts did manage to cover the spread. They were 3.5-point underdogs going into the game. The game’s over/under line stood at 40 points, and the final score exceeded this mark, reaching a combined 77 points.
New Orleans Saints vs Indianapolis Colts History
Over their previous five games against the Colts, the Saints have put together a record of 4-1. Over the last three head-to-head matchups between the Saints and Colts, taking the Saints against the spread has been a good bet, as they are a perfect 3-0 ATS.
- Across their five previous road games, New Orleans has an ATS mark of 2-2-1. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 20 points per game.
- Across their ten previous home games, Indianapolis has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 18 points per game.
- As the betting underdog, the Saints have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight-up record was 3-0.
- Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Colts have a straight-up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.
Notable Injuries
New Orleans Saints
- J.T. Gray – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Juwan Johnson – Calf (Questionable)
- Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
- Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
- Ryan Ramczyk – Concussion (Probable)
- James Hurst – Ankle (Questionable)
- Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
- Landon Young – Hip (Questionable)
- Payton Turner – Toe (Out)
- Adam Prentice – Knee (Out)
- Marcus Maye – Hamstring/illness (Questionable)
- Jimmy Graham – Illness (Questionable)
- Max Garcia – Illness (Questionable)
- Alontae Taylor – Hip (Questionable)
- Tyrann Mathieu – Foot (Questionable)
- Taysom Hill – Chest (Questionable)
- Shaquan Davis – Undisclosed (Out)
- Demario Davis – Knee (Questionable)
- Alvin Kamara – Illness (Probable)
Indianapolis Colts
- Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
- Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
- JuJu Brents – Quadriceps (Questionable)
- Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
- Zack Moss – Elbow/heel (Questionable)
- Eric Johnson II – Ankle (Questionable)
- Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
- Kylen Granson – Concussion (Questionable)
- Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
- Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
- Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
- Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
- Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
- Braden Smith – Hip/wrist (Questionable)
- Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)
- Grover Stewart – Suspended (Out)
Keys To Victory: New Orleans Saints
The New Orleans offense is currently ranked 19th in the league, averaging 19 points per contest. This season, Derek Carr has thrown six touchdowns, putting 9th among quarterbacks. He has also thrown for 1600 passing yards, ranking him 14th in his position. A major problem for this year’s New Orleans offense is their lack of production in the run game. Per attempt the team is averaging just 3.5 yards per attempt. Overall, they are the 22nd-ranked team in yards per game.
Keys To Victory: Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis gets set to take on New Orleans, averaging 25.4 points per game. Gardner Minshew and the Colts passing game figures to be a key part of the gameplan as the team is throwing the ball at a rate above the league average. For the season, Minshew has thrown for 1187 yards through the air and has Indianapolis sitting 10th in passing yards per game. Heading into the game, the team’s top receiver Michael Pittman Jr. who through 7 games, has 489 receiving yards this season. Indianapolis comes into the game with one of the better rush attacks in the NFL, averaging 4.1 yards per attempt. This strong figure has led to the team ranking 9th in yards per game on the ground.
Betting Trends
- In their last ten games away from home, the Saints have a straight-up record of 4-6 while going 4-5-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 18 points per game in this stretch.
- Across their last three home contests, Indianapolis has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 24 points per game.
- New Orleans has done well both straight up and vs. the spread as the underdog, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
- Going back to their last five games as the favorite, the Colts have a straight up record of 1-4. But their mark vs the spread was just 1-4.
Prediction
- Indianapolis Colts 22 – New Orleans Saints 20
