NFC East Thanksgiving Divisional Matchup
Point Spread: Giants +9.5 | Total Points: 45.5
Through 10 games, New York has an above .500 record at 7-3 and are ranked 6th in the NFC. In week 11, the New York Giants dropped their NFC matchup against the Lions by a score of 31-18. With the loss, New York failed to cover the spread, as they had a -3.0 advantage on the spread. By the end of the game, the teams combined for 49 points, surpassing the betting line of 44.
Leading into their week 12 NFC East matchup against New York, the Cowboys have an overall record of 7-3. This week, the Cowboys will look to keep things rolling after picking up a 40-3 over the Minnesota Vikings. Dallas also picked up an ATS win, with a point spread of -2. The over-under betting total going into the game was 48, which the teams did not surpass.
Giants vs Cowboys History
Earlier this season, Dallas picked up a 23-16 win over the GMen. Heading into the game, the Cowboys were the 1.5-point underdogs on the spread, giving them a win vs the spread. The over-under betting line going into the game was set at 38.5 points. The two teams combined to surpass this figure with a total of 39.
In the last 3 games between New York and Dallas, the Cowboys have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 15 points per contest. Across the last 3 head-to-head matchups, Dallas is averaging 29 points compared to New York at 14. The last 3 times that the Cowboys have hosted New York, they have a record of 2-1. In terms of betting, Dallas holds a recent edge vs the spread, going 3-2 in the previous 5 meetings. These games have finished with an average point total of 47, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.
Notable Injuries
New York Giants
- Joshua Ezeudu (Neck) Questionable
- Jason Pinnock (Jaw) Questionable
- Dane Belton (Clavicle) Questionable
- Evan Neal (Knee) Questionable
- Shane Lemieux (Toe) Questionable
- Andrew Thomas (Illness) Questionable
- Tyre Phillips (Neck) Questionable
- Richie James (Knee) Questionable
- Fabian Moreau (Oblique) Questionable
- Jon Feliciano (Neck) Questionable
Dallas Cowboys
- DeMarcus Lawrence (Foot) Questionable
- Anthony Barr (Hamstring) Questionable
- Dante Fowler Jr. (Illness) Questionable
- Johnathan Hankins (Illness) Questionable
- Ezekiel Elliott (Knee) Questionable
- Tarell Basham (Illness) Questionable
- Kelvin Joseph (Illness) Questionable
- Osa Odighizuwa (Knee) Questionable
- Micah Parsons (Ankle/knee) Questionable
Keys To Victory: New York Giants
On the season, New York has struggled to put up points, averaging just 20.5 points per game, placing them 21st in the league. Although the group is struggling on offense, their defense has been good enough to maintain an even scoring margin. Against Dallas, look for the Giants’ offense to have a tough time moving the ball through the air. So far, the team’s passing offense is averaging just 177 yards per game through the pass. This season, Daniel Jones has thrown for 1937 passing yards on a completion percentage of 65.1. His current passer rating of 89.82 is well below average compared to other quarterbacks. Going into the game, the team’s leader in receiving yards is Darius Slayton, who has caught 63.2% of the balls thrown his way for a total of 413 yards.
On the ground, the Giants should be able to put in yet another strong performance, as they are currently the 4th ranked team in rush yards per game and face off vs a defense that is vulnerable up front. So far, the team’s leading rusher is Saquon Barkley, who is averaging 4.5 yards per attempt. Through 10 games, he has rushed for a total of 953 yards on the ground.
Keys To Victory: Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott and the NFL’s 7th-ranked scoring offense head to Dallas looking to take care of business, as they are the 9.5-point favorites on the spread. Overall, Prescott is ranked 25th among quarterbacks in yards per game at 226.4. This figure has come on a completion percentage of 67.8%. In his last game, he finished with a passer rating of 139.33 while throwing for 276 yards. CeeDee Lamb has been targeted 93 times and has caught 62.4% of the passes thrown his way. He comes into the game with a total of 751 receiving yards.
Ezekiel Elliott and the Dallas ground attack could be in line for a good game, as the Cowboys are 25th in the NFL in rush yards allowed per game. Running back Ezekiel Elliott figures to get a majority of the carries for a unit averaging 136.2 yards per contest in the run game.
Betting Trends
- New York is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
- New York is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
- New York is 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.
- New York is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.
Prediction
It’s odd to see such a large spread considering this is such a tough divisional matchup. Both these teams know each other well, and while we like the Cowboys to win, the Giants are going to get walked on. Expect a tight game, possibly a game-winning field goal finish.
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